NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	2.6 [996]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +8.6%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.1 [523]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -10.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Goudelock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	11	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	24	53%	0.01	10	-0.11	12	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	15	69%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	7	76%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	33.1	15.8	25.2	1.8	36.4	136.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.6%

PHX +12.8%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +8.7%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	15.6	90.9	104.1	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		103.8	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	13.6	15.2	15.8	15.0
PHX	11.5	13.1	16.1	16.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	6.5	15.2	-8.68	10.0	14.4	-4.37
Jason Kapono	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-23	34	15.5	14.7	0.81	17.4	12.6	4.82
Luke Walton	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-10	8	13.4	15.2	-1.78	11.8	14.5	-2.71
Josh McRoberts	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-7	2	10.4	15.6	-5.22	12.5	14.5	-2.01
Andrew Goudelock	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	12.7	15.5	-2.85	14.2	14.2	-0.08
Matt Barnes	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-7	2	11.7	16.2	-4.48	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Troy Murphy	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-15	18	14.5	15.3	-0.76	17.6	12.0	5.66
Steve Blake	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-17	22	13.8	16.7	-2.94	16.1	11.7	4.35
Derek Fisher	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	5	-22	17.2	13.5	3.69	11.8	15.7	-3.91
Pau Gasol	74	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	15.7	13.0	2.68	14.3	14.2	0.11
Metta World Peace	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	4	-20	16.7	13.9	2.81	12.2	15.6	-3.33
Andrew Bynum	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.15	-17	5	-22	15.6	14.0	1.64	12.6	17.0	-4.33
Kobe Bryant	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	15.5	12.7	2.85	14.2	14.2	0.08

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	83	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-3	18	14.7	11.8	2.87	15.5	11.9	3.58
Jared Dudley	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-9	30	14.0	14.9	-0.89	15.5	13.6	1.94
Steve Nash	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-6	24	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.5	13.6	1.82
Grant Hill	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	-3	18	13.9	15.2	-1.30	15.1	14.8	0.31
Channing Frye	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-6	24	13.6	15.0	-1.39	16.6	13.0	3.56
Markieff Morris	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	20	-28	15.0	13.6	1.39	13.0	16.6	-3.56
Shannon Brown	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	13	-14	15.0	14.0	0.96	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	18	-24	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Michael Redd	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	23	-34	15.1	13.9	1.20	13.4	15.6	-2.19
Robin Lopez	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	13	-14	11.7	14.6	-2.93	12.8	15.3	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, UTA 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DET 79, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
BKN 95, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%