NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	5.7 [532]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +35.3%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	1.5 [320]		LVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): -13.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.20	0.18	0.03	16	79%	0.46	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	20	67%	0.21	6	-0.19	5	80%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.07	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	38%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	26.4	15.5	26.4	1.6	25.0	120.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.0%

MIN +20.0%

MIN +19.1%

HOU -18.8%

MIN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.6	123.3	110.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.4		102.6	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	14.2	15.6	20.6	16.2
HOU	15.2	16.5	15.0	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	55	55	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.11	23	-10	33	15.6	17.3	-1.66	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Luke Ridnour	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-4	21	16.3	15.8	0.53	16.2	14.8	1.36
Nikola Pekovic	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.09	18	-5	23	16.0	18.0	-2.00	16.2	14.2	2.00
Kevin Love	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	2	9	16.0	17.7	-1.69	15.8	16.9	-1.14
Ricky Rubio	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	6	1	16.1	16.7	-0.61	15.8	16.6	-0.84
Derrick Williams	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	11	-9	17.1	16.0	1.02	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Martell Webster	36	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	19	-25	16.6	16.0	0.66	15.8	16.0	-0.17
Michael Beasley	34	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	20	-27	17.5	15.5	2.02	16.1	15.8	0.30

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-8	3	15.4	16.1	-0.65	16.8	16.1	0.78
Patrick Patterson	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-13	13	15.5	16.5	-0.99	17.9	14.1	3.83
Goran Dragic	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-10	7	16.8	15.3	1.49	18.1	14.9	3.19
Courtney Lee	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.5	16.7	-1.13	18.2	12.8	5.46
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	15.9	16.0	-0.10	14.2	17.8	-3.59
Kevin Martin	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	0	-13	15.0	17.3	-2.26	15.2	17.9	-2.69
Chandler Parsons	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	16.4	13.6	2.80	15.8	18.6	-2.76
Luis Scola	41	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	4	-21	16.7	15.3	1.35	14.0	18.2	-4.25
Kyle Lowry	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-2	-9	16.1	15.4	0.65	16.0	17.1	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.3%
CLE 86, PHX 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0	93.2%
NYK 98, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.02,0.06,0.04,0	93.1%