inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 107 Excitement8.1 [194] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +51.5%
Detroit Pistons 101 Comeback93.3 [13] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -15.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.520,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.520.100.420.002358%0.542-0.03683%0.02
Marvin Williams0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.010.03985%0.171-0.01862%-0.02
Zaza Pachulia0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.110.021262%0.182-0.0520%-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Willie Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.040.00564%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Collins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01333%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Josh Smith-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.060.031647%-0.051-0.03875%0.03
Kirk Hinrich-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00642%0.023-0.1200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.160.160.060.10-0.012051%0.1600.00367%-0.03
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.001456%0.121-0.03650%-0.08
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.00960%0.102-0.042100%0.02
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.001150%0.102-0.062100%0.02
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.001345%0.032-0.065100%0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01250%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Walker Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16-0.160.05-0.090.121850%-0.1600.004100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.52.028.216.824.62.533.31.617.2151.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +72.2%
DET -11.8%
DET -0.6%
DET -20.3%
ATL +10.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game15.316.215.6105.9100.0102.8
season15.716.3102.599.5
opponent15.415.9104.499.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL14.317.314.916.312.515.3
DET17.014.017.118.013.616.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams69670.64-0.140.780.5242215.215.6-0.3915.317.8-2.47
Josh Smith82820.63-0.130.760.3410-41415.415.10.2716.614.42.20
Zaza Pachulia66650.59-0.090.690.3010-41415.814.41.4216.016.5-0.57
Kirk Hinrich61600.460.040.420.3442215.015.8-0.8215.816.6-0.76
Joe Johnson87860.460.040.420.3442215.315.5-0.2016.315.30.97
Willie Green16170.040.46-0.420.07-17-814.315.5-1.2114.616.5-1.82
Jeff Teague40410.040.46-0.42-0.0224-215.815.00.8216.615.80.76
Ivan Johnson1617-0.060.56-0.610.00-28-1014.415.5-1.1314.216.6-2.38
Vladimir Radmanovic55-0.070.57-0.640.02-39-1216.215.30.9217.616.11.52
Jason Collins3131-0.100.60-0.69-0.1006-615.115.4-0.3316.815.90.89
Tracy McGrady3234-0.140.64-0.78-0.2024-215.615.20.3917.815.32.47

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walker Russell31310.07-0.570.65-0.044-101416.416.10.2816.714.72.04
Rodney Stuckey69670.04-0.540.590.040-6616.515.31.1915.115.8-0.70
Ben Wallace3332-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-2-217.415.51.8813.716.1-2.31
Jason Maxiell5150-0.12-0.380.27-0.141-7816.016.3-0.2817.013.63.39
Jonas Jerebko3231-0.18-0.320.150.12-104-1416.516.00.4516.814.72.14
Austin Daye5253-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-5-1-415.716.7-0.9615.615.00.54
Damien Wilkins6566-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-3-3016.116.2-0.1014.916.1-1.21
Greg Monroe8082-0.520.02-0.55-0.44-3-3016.216.10.0815.215.7-0.44
Brandon Knight8181-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-4-2-215.917.3-1.4914.718.0-3.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 111, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,092.0%
MEM 100, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.02,0.08,091.3%
SAC 106, NYK 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.32,0.22,0.05,0.04,089.5%