NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.4 [591]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +20.6%
Boston Celtics	74		Comeback	1.5 [282]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -23.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	86%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.03	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
David West	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	11	82%	0.24	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	12	39%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	17	26%	-0.12	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	25.0	15.8	28.2	2.6	31.5	130.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.2%

IND +7.0%

IND +24.5%

BOS -6.1%

IND +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	18.7	14.8	15.6	101.2	86.0	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		104.2	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.6		97.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	19.5	18.0	16.6	21.1	18.7
BOS	13.3	18.0	13.4	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	40	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	19.7	17.8	1.90	15.6	14.0	1.60
Jeff Foster	26	26	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	17.5	19.2	-1.73	16.3	14.1	2.25
Tyler Hansbrough	41	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	6	1	18.9	18.6	0.32	15.3	14.2	1.08
Danny Granger	67	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	3	7	19.0	17.8	1.11	13.8	17.7	-3.88
A.J. Price	24	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	7	-1	17.6	19.1	-1.50	16.5	14.0	2.41
Darren Collison	62	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	6	1	19.1	17.6	1.50	14.0	16.5	-2.41
Dahntay Jones	19	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	10	-7	17.8	19.0	-1.11	17.7	13.8	3.88
David West	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	8	-3	18.6	18.9	-0.37	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Roy Hibbert	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	12	-11	19.3	17.6	1.65	13.9	16.3	-2.39
Paul George	46	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	16	-19	17.8	19.7	-1.90	14.0	15.6	-1.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	13.0	14.8	-1.80	14.0	18.8	-4.82
JaJuan Johnson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	13.0	14.8	-1.80	14.0	18.8	-4.82
Jermaine O'Neal	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-17	21	14.1	15.6	-1.53	20.1	17.0	3.13
Chris Wilcox	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-7	1	15.3	14.7	0.60	13.3	19.1	-5.78
Greg Stiemsma	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-12	11	12.9	15.1	-2.21	14.9	19.4	-4.52
Marquis Daniels	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-10	7	15.9	14.5	1.42	14.4	19.6	-5.22
Rajon Rondo	71	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-11	9	13.8	19.6	-5.84	19.2	16.3	2.88
Brandon Bass	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-3	-7	15.2	14.3	0.92	19.3	18.2	1.09
Paul Pierce	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	13.8	17.9	-4.07	19.3	16.5	2.87
Ray Allen	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	14.8	14.8	-0.09	19.6	15.8	3.73
Avery Bradley	14	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	19.6	13.8	5.81	16.3	19.2	-2.88
Keyon Dooling	24	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.9	14.0	2.97	17.5	19.1	-1.56
Kevin Garnett	60	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	2	-17	15.4	13.3	2.05	18.8	18.5	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
LAC 98, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%