NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	6.8 [356]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +29.8%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	3.9 [400]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -22.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.18	0.03	15	70%	0.30	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	65%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	12	72%	0.20	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	10	25%	-0.13	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	15	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	5	50%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	14	58%	0.05	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Trey Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	22	44%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.07	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.2	15.4	25.5	1.7	32.4	129.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.8%

NOH -3.4%

PHI +13.9%

PHI +8.3%

PHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.6	109.8	103.3	102.8
season	15.6	16.3		101.0	99.2
opponent	15.7	16.1		103.4	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	17.1	15.1	15.1	15.9
NOH	13.0	17.1	16.9	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	74	73	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.35	12	-4	16	16.2	14.7	1.54	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Evan Turner	57	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	15.5	16.5	-0.99	15.9	15.4	0.57
Thaddeus Young	56	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	15.3	16.8	-1.44	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Andre Iguodala	58	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	6	-4	16.3	15.2	1.10	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	10	-12	16.0	15.8	0.20	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Elton Brand	65	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	-4	16	16.0	15.6	0.44	16.2	14.8	1.45
Tony Battie	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	19.7	15.6	4.13	21.1	15.3	5.85
Louis Williams	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	9	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.17	14.7	16.7	-1.92
Jodie Meeks	46	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	12	-16	15.3	16.5	-1.24	16.2	15.3	0.99

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	37	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-12	16	15.8	15.7	0.16	16.0	15.8	0.21
Jason Smith	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	16.8	15.3	1.48	15.4	16.1	-0.63
Greivis Vasquez	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Chris Kaman	46	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.9	15.6	0.34	15.9	15.9	0.02
Trey Johnson	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.3	15.9	-0.53	16.9	15.6	1.32
Eric Gordon	73	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	15.8	15.3	0.56	15.8	16.2	-0.34
Emeka Okafor	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	15.5	16.0	-0.45	16.2	15.5	0.72
Marco Belinelli	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.5	16.0	-0.49	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Carl Landry	59	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-2	-4	15.3	16.5	-1.18	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Jarrett Jack	71	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.7	1.34	15.9	15.9	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.14,0.09,0	92.3%
GSW 110, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.09,0	91.2%
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	91.1%