inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 85 Excitement3.1 [942] MVPRay Allen (BOS): +12.2%
Boston Celtics 96 Comeback1.2 [987] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -12.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.13-0.010.061279%0.112-0.054100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00953%0.0500.001100%0.01
Ben Gordon0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031043%0.0200.001100%0.00
Damien Wilkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.010.04671%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Ben Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vernon Macklin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.021148%-0.011-0.001100%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01350%0.002-0.022100%0.00
Brandon Knight-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.000.031142%-0.052-0.042100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.16-0.01-0.041112%-0.111-0.02250%-0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.01-0.02974%0.152-0.035100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.010.05983%0.111-0.005100%0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01-0.05550%0.0700.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00867%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00667%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.12-0.000.081168%0.0300.003100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03450%0.031-0.002100%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03150%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00856%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaJuan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.830.215.724.41.829.6128.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +39.8%
BOS +10.0%
DET -8.0%
BOS +6.6%
BOS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game18.617.215.6104.9120.0102.8
season16.315.599.599.4
opponent16.215.497.1104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.319.617.120.918.6
BOS16.216.415.621.417.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vernon Macklin450.00-0.500.50-0.217-182515.018.8-3.7519.017.11.92
Will Bynum550.00-0.500.50-0.217-182518.418.6-0.1819.017.11.92
Ben Wallace2221-0.01-0.490.49-0.4214-253918.318.7-0.3420.516.04.44
Austin Daye2524-0.15-0.350.20-0.295-162119.218.30.9719.016.42.57
Damien Wilkins1719-0.20-0.300.11-0.314-151918.818.50.3217.817.00.77
Ben Gordon5050-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-7318.119.4-1.2717.416.90.48
Jason Maxiell2927-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-5-119.218.21.0517.716.90.82
Tayshaun Prince5453-0.27-0.23-0.050.22-176-2318.219.2-0.9816.319.0-2.72
Greg Monroe5857-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-198-2718.917.61.3416.718.5-1.86
Brandon Knight4141-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-132-1519.317.81.5218.216.22.04
Rodney Stuckey5148-0.34-0.16-0.190.10-154-1918.418.9-0.4715.919.2-3.36
Jonas Jerebko4950-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-187-2518.119.2-1.1316.019.3-3.31

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce41400.430.070.360.0214-31715.918.6-2.6618.518.7-0.18
Jermaine O'Neal51510.410.090.31-0.3325-143915.819.7-3.9618.818.20.64
Ray Allen52520.410.090.31-0.2422-113315.919.6-3.6518.618.50.13
Kevin Garnett44440.300.200.090.00101916.518.1-1.6118.518.6-0.10
Rajon Rondo46490.230.27-0.04-0.1212-11316.418.3-1.8518.119.3-1.28
Sasha Pavlovic22220.200.30-0.090.35-516-2118.916.62.3619.118.40.78
Greg Stiemsma25260.170.33-0.160.38-718-2519.116.32.7319.018.40.64
Keyon Dooling33330.160.34-0.180.16011-1118.816.02.8118.518.6-0.14
Brandon Bass34360.130.37-0.250.10110-918.616.22.4718.019.0-1.02
Marquis Daniels34370.070.43-0.36-0.0547-318.516.22.2619.118.20.89
Avery Bradley650.000.50-0.500.21-718-2518.817.11.7718.418.6-0.18
E'Twaun Moore650.000.50-0.500.21-718-2518.817.11.7718.418.6-0.18
JaJuan Johnson650.000.50-0.500.21-718-2518.817.11.7718.418.6-0.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 84, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
BKN 73, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
ATL 89, PHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%