NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	7.5 [264]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +39.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.4 [586]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -27.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.4	0.17	0.25	0.03	17	71%	0.43	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.06
James Harden	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	11	65%	0.22	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Daequan Cook	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.00	4	112%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	3	89%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Eric Maynor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Serge Ibaka	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.29,-0.27	-0.25	-0.05	-0.02	13	13%	-0.18	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	59%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	43%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	20	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	12	75%	-0.04
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	24	37%	-0.11	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.7	2.4	30.0	15.8	27.5	2.5	43.2	153.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +46.1%

OKC +9.2%

MEM -9.7%

OKC +8.5%

MEM -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.6	107.7	104.4	102.8
season	14.7	15.6		107.9	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	17.0	15.3	16.4	15.9
MEM	14.4	15.0	18.3	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.50	-2	5	-7	16.9	14.3	2.58	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Nick Collison	24	24	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-2	7	14.8	16.3	-1.45	17.5	15.1	2.44
Kevin Durant	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	5	-7	15.9	15.9	-0.06	16.3	13.7	2.54
Daequan Cook	28	26	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	-3	9	16.2	15.8	0.40	16.2	15.6	0.62
Eric Maynor	32	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	2	-1	16.1	15.8	0.25	14.3	16.5	-2.21
Nazr Mohammed	36	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-6	15	16.2	15.7	0.58	13.9	16.9	-3.07
Russell Westbrook	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	2	-1	15.3	17.1	-1.79	15.8	15.6	0.24
Serge Ibaka	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	2	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.88	16.5	15.1	1.40
Kendrick Perkins	43	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	7	-11	16.9	15.0	1.91	17.4	14.2	3.13
Cole Aldrich	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	4	-5	17.2	15.7	1.55	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Thabo Sefolosha	47	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	14.6	17.3	-2.66	14.9	16.8	-1.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	16.0	15.7	0.26	18.0	15.9	2.12
Tony Allen	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Marc Gasol	69	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-7	11	15.3	17.2	-1.95	15.3	17.9	-2.63
Josh Selby	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	15.1	15.9	-0.79	15.7	16.0	-0.24
Dante Cunningham	9	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	3	-9	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Josh Davis	10	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	1	-5	18.0	15.5	2.53	18.4	15.7	2.71
Quincy Pondexter	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	2	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.11	16.6	15.7	0.95
Zach Randolph	78	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-9	15	15.3	18.4	-3.08	15.9	15.7	0.28
Jeremy Pargo	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	15.9	15.2	0.75	15.9	15.8	0.11
O.J. Mayo	52	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	16.0	15.5	0.50	16.9	14.7	2.22
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	1	-5	16.3	14.0	2.34	15.6	17.0	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0,0,0	93.0%
SAC 119, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	92.9%
LAL 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%