NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	11.0 [24]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +26.1%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	14.8 [101]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -31.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	0.00	16	57%	0.30	3	-0.12	8	62%	-0.05
Gary Neal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	7	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	57%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.13	-0.13	0.03	23	66%	0.14	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.25,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.13	-0.02	17	55%	0.24	2	-0.31	8	87%	0.04
George Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.09,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.15	0.02	20	61%	0.42	2	-0.16	14	93%	0.13
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	6	75%	0.29	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.11	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	0.00	18	49%	0.02	6	-0.34	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	33.0	15.0	27.2	1.7	32.5	0.8	16.0	150.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.7%

HOU +21.5%

HOU +5.5%

HOU +20.6%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.5	106.5	109.2	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		109.3	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.5	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	17.0	13.1	14.2	12.6	14.2	14.2
HOU	14.3	15.6	16.4	15.7	13.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	52	53	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-14	23	14.5	13.8	0.66	15.8	14.7	1.12
Tiago Splitter	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	10.5	14.5	-3.95	17.3	15.1	2.24
James Anderson	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	0.0	14.2	-14.16	27.0	15.2	11.83
Matt Bonner	53	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-7	9	13.5	14.8	-1.29	15.0	15.5	-0.49
DeJuan Blair	29	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	4	-13	16.3	13.3	3.00	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Gary Neal	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	6	-17	13.7	14.5	-0.85	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Tony Parker	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.9	11.7	3.11	15.5	14.6	0.92
Antonio McDyess	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	13.7	14.6	-0.90	14.9	15.6	-0.76
Tim Duncan	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	14.5	13.4	1.05	15.7	14.4	1.24
Manu Ginobili	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.48	3	-8	11	13.7	15.5	-1.86	15.5	14.6	0.99
George Hill	65	65	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	10	-25	13.9	14.5	-0.56	14.8	15.9	-1.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	15.9	13.2	2.65	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Kevin Martin	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	-4	13	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.5	12.8	1.69
Kyle Lowry	91	89	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	15.4	14.8	0.53	14.8	11.2	3.60
Charles Hayes	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-1	7	14.9	16.2	-1.26	14.8	12.4	2.44
Courtney Lee	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	4	-3	14.5	16.4	-1.84	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Chase Budinger	70	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	5	-5	15.9	14.1	1.87	14.2	14.0	0.18
Goran Dragic	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	5	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.53	11.2	14.8	-3.60
Patrick Patterson	50	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	3	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.55	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Jordan Hill	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	16.8	15.2	1.65	8.8	14.4	-5.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.1%
NJN 102, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.72,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.55,0.91,1	89.8%
TOR 89, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.73,1	89.7%