inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 107 Excitement5.3 [788] MVPRajon Rondo (BOS): +16.1%
San Antonio Spurs 97 Comeback2.0 [527] LVPGeorge Hill (SAS): -7.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rajon Rondo0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.07-0.042052%0.1600.0020%-0.00
Kevin Garnett0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.090.090.010.001277%0.163-0.072100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.002100%0.0800.001100%0.01
Glen Davis0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.010.041267%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00757%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.011657%0.102-0.06580%0.01
Von Wafer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delonte West-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ray Allen-0.070,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.030.031146%0.034-0.096100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.020.031661%0.092-0.05683%0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.020.041164%0.0300.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00944%0.031-0.0300%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.041269%0.075-0.10580%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01837%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.031335%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.011233%-0.0400.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00555%0.013-0.081100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.729.318.623.22.732.3135.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +51.9%
BOS +3.1%
SAS -3.1%
BOS +2.3%
SAS -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game14.715.815.5112.6103.2105.7
season15.715.5104.8109.3
opponent15.215.8103.699.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.814.115.016.014.7
SAS15.616.517.813.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce72720.470.030.440.1511-11214.216.4-2.2216.114.81.31
Rajon Rondo81820.420.080.330.121001014.814.40.4115.716.3-0.64
Jeff Green33330.390.110.290.0412-21413.615.3-1.6416.815.21.51
Ray Allen83830.380.120.260.1873414.813.81.0015.418.4-2.93
Kevin Garnett56560.290.210.080.0973415.114.20.8914.917.1-2.14
Jermaine O'Neal20190.250.25-0.000.1928-615.214.60.6318.415.13.31
Delonte West31290.200.30-0.100.1428-615.114.50.6316.115.60.47
Von Wafer430.080.42-0.340.0519-817.014.62.4017.715.71.95
Glen Davis63640.080.42-0.350.08010-1015.612.92.7115.017.3-2.29
Nenad Krstic22210.060.44-0.39-0.0337-412.915.3-2.4016.015.70.23
Sasha Pavlovic108-0.110.61-0.720.03-515-2013.614.8-1.2416.615.70.93

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter88-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-101013.716.0-2.2217.014.52.51
Manu Ginobili6872-0.12-0.380.25-0.10-1-9814.219.8-5.5715.312.82.54
Matt Bonner4043-0.14-0.360.23-0.161-111215.715.8-0.0514.315.0-0.74
DeJuan Blair2122-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-4-216.215.60.5914.114.9-0.80
Gary Neal3233-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-7416.715.31.3815.214.50.68
Tim Duncan6565-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-6215.915.60.3314.614.9-0.24
Tony Parker6968-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-2-615.915.30.6214.315.7-1.39
Antonio McDyess5452-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-111-1215.815.70.0515.014.30.74
George Hill4344-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.13-9-1-816.814.91.9514.415.0-0.55
Richard Jefferson7068-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-9-1-816.015.01.0414.415.4-0.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 113, BOS 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.3,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%
SAC 113, DET 1100.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,093.6%
MIA 117, CHI 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.5%