NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	123		Excitement	6.4 [538]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +24.2%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.3 [1238]		LVP	Eddie House (MIA): -7.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.06	0.02	17	72%	0.31	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.02
LeBron James	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.13	0.03	16	78%	0.37	5	-0.13	13	77%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.09	0.04	15	63%	0.20	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
James Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.05	0.04	6	92%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.05
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	0.05	6	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.02	14	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.05	0.04	24	67%	0.29	5	-0.15	10	100%	0.06
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	45.4	18.8	27.2	1.6	33.4	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.1%

MIA +18.5%

WAS -2.5%

MIA +1.6%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	WAS	NBA	MIA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.5	132.3	115.1	105.7
season	16.0	15.1		109.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		108.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.9	16.5	17.4	17.9	16.4
WAS	16.1	13.5	14.5	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	80	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.02	22	-6	28	15.9	19.1	-3.15	14.6	14.6	-0.04
LeBron James	87	85	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.02	20	-4	24	16.0	21.8	-5.84	14.5	16.1	-1.67
Dwyane Wade	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-4	24	16.0	17.8	-1.82	14.6	14.6	0.05
James Jones	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.01	18	-2	20	16.7	15.6	1.13	14.1	15.5	-1.32
Mike Bibby	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	15.1	18.1	-2.95	15.2	13.8	1.37
Eddie House	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	12	-8	18.2	14.6	3.60	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Jamaal Magloire	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	22.0	16.3	5.70	12.5	14.6	-2.15
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	17	-18	26.0	16.0	9.96	17.0	14.5	2.45
Erick Dampier	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	19	-22	15.4	16.8	-1.43	15.7	14.1	1.57
Juwan Howard	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	20	-24	20.6	16.0	4.55	11.0	14.9	-3.85
Joel Anthony	21	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	24	-32	17.3	16.1	1.19	15.7	14.3	1.40

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-17	18	15.4	14.2	1.23	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Kevin Seraphin	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-17	18	14.2	14.7	-0.52	17.9	16.0	1.90
Hamady Ndiaye	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-15	14	12.5	14.6	-2.15	22.0	16.3	5.70
Cartier Martin	36	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-10	4	14.0	15.0	-0.98	16.4	16.4	0.03
Mustafa Shakur	3	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	12.0	14.7	-2.69	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Yi Jianlian	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-14	12	15.1	14.3	0.88	18.0	15.3	2.67
Andray Blatche	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-2	-12	14.2	15.1	-0.87	15.4	17.7	-2.24
Maurice Evans	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-2	-12	14.7	14.3	0.35	16.0	18.1	-2.05
Jordan Crawford	90	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-4	-8	14.5	16.3	-1.79	16.1	20.2	-4.05
JaVale McGee	67	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-7	-2	15.2	13.2	2.01	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Othyus Jeffers	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	4	-24	14.2	15.1	-0.90	17.4	14.9	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.5%
BKN 99, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	92.9%
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%