NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	6.1 [600]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +19.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	2.6 [557]		LVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): -11.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.04	13	58%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.03	0.05	14	63%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Michael Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	52%	0.03	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	19	58%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	12	58%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	77%	0.23	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	26.2	15.6	23.3	2.3	25.6	117.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +62.1%

HOU -22.6%

PHI +8.9%

PHI +0.3%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	105.4	117.4	105.7
season	15.2	15.5		109.5	104.6
opponent	15.5	14.9		103.4	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	17.3	16.5	15.7	16.3
PHI	14.9	15.5	14.1	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Harris	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	14.5	16.3	-1.83	23.0	14.9	8.08
DeMarre Carroll	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	14.5	16.3	-1.83	23.0	14.9	8.08
Jordan Hill	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-8	5	15.4	16.4	-1.06	13.8	15.2	-1.35
Goran Dragic	26	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-10	9	17.2	15.9	1.25	14.0	15.4	-1.31
Luis Scola	53	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	15.7	17.1	-1.45	15.9	13.7	2.14
Kevin Martin	62	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.9	17.2	-1.35	15.5	13.9	1.66
Charles Hayes	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	16.7	14.6	2.16	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Courtney Lee	37	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	17.3	15.6	1.63	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Chase Budinger	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	16.2	16.9	-0.66	15.2	13.3	1.86
Kyle Lowry	66	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	-1	-9	15.9	17.2	-1.25	15.4	14.0	1.31
Patrick Patterson	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	16.7	16.0	0.73	14.4	15.5	-1.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	2	7	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.5	15.8	0.78
Lou Williams	41	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	10	-9	14.1	15.7	-1.65	17.9	15.0	2.88
Jodie Meeks	68	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	1	9	15.1	14.8	0.24	15.6	18.0	-2.40
Jrue Holiday	72	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	1	9	15.4	13.5	1.87	15.6	18.6	-3.01
Spencer Hawes	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	0	11	15.6	13.5	2.05	16.1	16.7	-0.53
Andre Iguodala	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	5	1	15.3	14.1	1.15	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Andres Nocioni	26	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	13.8	15.5	-1.62	17.4	15.8	1.52
Elton Brand	54	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	14.4	15.9	-1.51	16.4	16.1	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
DAL 98, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.92,1	92.7%
DET 75, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%