NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	2.9 [1210]		MVP	Josh McRoberts (IND): +9.1%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.6 [991]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -11.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	74%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	59%	0.04	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DaJuan Summers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.00	0.08	20	55%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	-0.04	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	83%	0.10	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.03	2	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	8	50%	0.07	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	17	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	26.5	15.8	24.2	2.4	32.4	129.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.6%

IND +10.3%

IND +8.5%

IND +6.0%

IND +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.5	105.2	115.6	105.7
season	16.7	14.7		106.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.5	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	15.8	17.3	11.3	14.8
IND	16.6	14.8	12.7	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DaJuan Summers	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-19	28	11.3	15.6	-4.37	15.8	15.1	0.76
Tracy McGrady	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-5	0	16.5	14.2	2.25	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Ben Gordon	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-17	24	13.0	15.9	-2.84	15.6	15.0	0.62
Chris Wilcox	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	0	-10	16.6	13.7	2.90	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Greg Monroe	65	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-13	16	14.8	14.6	0.23	15.4	15.0	0.39
Tayshaun Prince	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	1	-12	15.9	13.3	2.64	15.0	15.5	-0.42
Charlie Villanueva	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	15.7	14.5	1.22	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Austin Daye	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	3	-16	14.6	14.8	-0.23	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Jason Maxiell	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	2	-14	14.9	14.7	0.18	15.5	15.1	0.42
Richard Hamilton	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	14.5	16.6	-2.07	15.5	13.0	2.55
Rodney Stuckey	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-5	0	14.2	16.5	-2.25	15.7	13.8	1.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	56	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-10	30	14.8	15.8	-0.98	15.5	13.8	1.71
Brandon Rush	46	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	6	-2	15.7	14.8	0.94	12.9	16.7	-3.78
Josh McRoberts	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	9	-8	15.9	14.3	1.60	13.9	16.0	-2.06
A.J. Price	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	8	-6	16.0	14.5	1.45	12.8	16.5	-3.63
Jeff Foster	28	27	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-2	14	14.4	15.6	-1.23	15.7	14.4	1.25
Roy Hibbert	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	6	-2	15.8	14.4	1.43	14.8	14.6	0.21
Paul George	51	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	2	6	14.5	16.0	-1.45	16.1	13.4	2.64
Darren Collison	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	2	6	14.5	16.0	-1.45	16.5	12.8	3.63
Tyler Hansbrough	47	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	9	-8	14.5	15.9	-1.37	15.8	13.8	1.95
Mike Dunleavy	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.34	-10	20	-30	15.8	14.8	0.98	13.8	15.5	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
PHX 71, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
HOU 87, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%