NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	8.0 [241]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +115.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	48.3 [37]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -19.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.13	0.03	0.11	-0.00	15	66%	0.31	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	3	133%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.17,-0.2	-0.17	-0.02	0.01	17	44%	0.02	8	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,1.15	1.15	0.11	1.03	-0.00	15	62%	1.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.25
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	16	62%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.11	0.01	14	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	12	47%	-0.09	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	24.1	15.4	22.4	1.7	33.1	121.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -13.4%

POR +49.1%

POR +5.2%

POR +5.5%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	104.3	106.5	105.7
season	15.5	16.5		109.3	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.7	15.6	18.1	14.8	15.5
POR	16.3	15.7	14.6	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	58	58	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.23	5	-7	12	15.5	15.6	-0.12	15.5	16.3	-0.75
DeJuan Blair	43	43	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.41	-4	2	-6	16.6	14.6	2.01	16.9	14.8	2.05
Gary Neal	41	39	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.46	-8	6	-14	17.2	14.2	3.04	16.9	15.0	1.92
Matt Bonner	32	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-12	22	14.8	15.9	-1.07	17.3	14.9	2.38
Tiago Splitter	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	14.3	16.7	-2.33	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Steve Novak	26	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.2	15.6	-0.44	15.2	16.0	-0.84
George Hill	53	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.55	2	-4	6	15.2	16.0	-0.85	16.9	14.4	2.51
Manu Ginobili	65	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.3	-1.11	16.0	15.3	0.65
Tony Parker	70	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.64	-3	1	-4	15.3	16.1	-0.82	14.5	19.9	-5.35
Antonio McDyess	49	49	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.81	-11	9	-20	15.7	15.3	0.44	14.4	17.3	-2.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	71	72	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.50	16	-14	30	15.0	18.5	-3.48	15.6	15.0	0.59
Andre Miller	72	73	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.59	4	-2	6	14.8	19.3	-4.48	15.6	15.0	0.64
Nicolas Batum	64	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.9	15.6	0.22	15.4	15.8	-0.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.50	-5	7	-12	15.7	17.4	-1.77	15.3	17.6	-2.32
Gerald Wallace	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	-6	14	16.0	15.2	0.72	15.6	15.2	0.40
Marcus Camby	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	16.3	15.6	0.72	16.6	15.1	1.54
Brandon Roy	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	12	-22	17.9	14.6	3.25	14.2	16.2	-2.08
Rudy Fernandez	38	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	6	-10	16.8	15.1	1.79	15.9	15.2	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.31,0.05,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, CHA 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.02,0.16,1	91.4%
PHX 89, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.42,1	90.3%
TOR 93, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.15,0.17,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.03,1	90.3%