NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	5.8 [677]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +26.7%
New Orleans Hornets	115		Comeback	1.7 [949]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): -9.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.08	-0.03	19	62%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	9	63%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	9	43%	0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	14	51%	0.09	6	-0.12	9	78%	0.01
Pooh Jeter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	67%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.09	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.10	0.01	21	67%	0.33	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	10	65%	0.24	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.05
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	18	66%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	2	56%	0.01	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	32.1	15.8	24.2	2.4	28.6	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +34.3%

NOH +11.8%

SAC -2.0%

NOH +2.4%

NOH +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.5	106.2	118.6	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		102.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	14.9		104.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	13.8	15.3	15.4	14.8
NOH	13.6	15.0	15.3	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darnell Jackson	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	14.9	-14.92	4.0	15.0	-11.04
Donte Greene	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	14.9	-14.92	4.0	15.0	-11.04
Omri Casspi	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-12	12	13.5	15.3	-1.73	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Francisco Garcia	63	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-12	12	14.9	14.6	0.27	15.5	13.8	1.77
DeMarcus Cousins	68	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-10	8	14.4	15.7	-1.37	14.9	15.0	-0.05
Pooh Jeter	53	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-10	8	13.5	16.3	-2.89	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Luther Head	44	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	16.3	13.5	2.89	15.9	14.0	1.92
Samuel Dalembert	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	15.6	12.7	2.88	15.0	14.7	0.34
Marcus Thornton	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	15.2	13.3	1.97	15.3	13.8	1.44
Jermaine Taylor	30	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	14.8	14.8	0.01	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Jason Thompson	54	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	2	-16	14.6	14.9	-0.26	15.2	14.6	0.66

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	37	38	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-7	26	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.4	13.7	2.64
Willie Green	45	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	13.9	15.8	-1.98	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Chris Paul	85	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	14.7	16.3	-1.60	15.1	12.2	2.91
Jarrett Jack	31	30	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	3	6	16.2	14.3	1.91	15.4	14.5	0.92
Carl Landry	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	7	-2	15.0	14.7	0.32	13.9	17.0	-3.10
Jason Smith	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	12	-12	16.1	14.8	1.30	13.1	14.9	-1.75
Marco Belinelli	46	44	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	9	-6	15.3	14.6	0.76	15.2	14.4	0.89
Trevor Ariza	66	67	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	9	-6	14.3	16.2	-1.91	14.5	15.4	-0.92
David West	72	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	11	-10	15.0	14.7	0.33	15.3	13.3	1.94
Aaron Gray	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	15	-18	16.7	14.7	1.92	9.4	15.3	-5.86
Quincy Pondexter	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	17	-22	16.9	14.6	2.29	13.3	15.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.91,0.93,1,1,1	94.1%
ATL 91, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%
TOR 98, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%