inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 95 Excitement2.5 [1250] MVPKyle Lowry (HOU): +10.8%
Houston Rockets 112 Comeback1.0 [1167] LVPDarren Collison (IND): -6.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.04480%0.024-0.002100%0.00
A.J. Price0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.01567%0.0110.00250%-0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02450%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Danny Granger-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.011347%0.022-0.048100%0.02
Brandon Rush-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.001155%-0.013-0.0100%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.021447%-0.031-0.00475%-0.01
Lance Stephenson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02733%-0.032-0.011100%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.031845%-0.021-0.02250%0.00
Darren Collison-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.06735%-0.024-0.04367%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.00-0.01975%0.143-0.03683%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.00-0.071154%0.092-0.012100%0.01
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011553%0.0600.00475%0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.001754%0.052-0.013100%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.001152%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.04575%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.0740%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.011547%-0.001-0.02450%-0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.427.515.324.91.825.4123.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +41.9%
HOU +2.5%
HOU +1.8%
HOU +5.7%
IND -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDHOUNBAINDHOUNBA
this game13.614.415.592.2108.7105.7
season14.715.2103.1109.5
opponent14.915.4107.5104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.713.513.411.813.6
HOU15.612.213.317.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Price25250.02-0.520.53-0.3613-304312.214.0-1.7513.914.6-0.68
Dahntay Jones3532-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-6-513.413.6-0.2514.614.30.28
Lance Stephenson4545-0.21-0.290.07-0.210-171712.514.4-1.9116.612.73.91
Tyler Hansbrough5251-0.23-0.270.05-0.230-171713.513.6-0.1315.313.51.74
Jeff Foster2727-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-6-515.013.11.9013.514.7-1.24
Brandon Rush4547-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-3-1114.013.20.7412.815.8-3.00
Paul George5553-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-13913.413.7-0.3515.513.32.21
Roy Hibbert5859-0.26-0.24-0.030.18-15-2-1313.613.50.1713.915.0-1.13
Josh McRoberts6263-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-9113.314.0-0.7314.414.40.04
Danny Granger6465-0.30-0.20-0.110.17-16-1-1513.713.40.2913.915.2-1.29
Darren Collison4748-0.31-0.19-0.110.25-192-2114.612.71.9413.715.0-1.33

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger71730.370.130.23-0.3123-62914.414.5-0.1014.212.12.02
Kevin Martin60600.370.130.23-0.2220-32313.315.9-2.6313.913.10.81
Luis Scola60570.350.150.21-0.2621-42513.715.3-1.6314.512.42.04
Kyle Lowry62610.310.190.12-0.191701714.015.0-1.0413.813.20.59
Courtney Lee66660.270.230.040.27017-1715.013.41.6312.615.3-2.75
Brad Miller40410.250.250.00-0.07116514.614.20.4113.213.8-0.65
Charles Hayes51500.250.25-0.00-0.191521313.615.2-1.6414.212.91.28
Goran Dragic41420.190.31-0.120.19017-1715.014.01.0413.213.8-0.59
Patrick Patterson35380.150.35-0.210.23-320-2315.413.91.4712.814.0-1.18
Hasheem Thabeet540.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.214.40.8413.713.60.19
Jordan Hill12120.000.50-0.500.26-926-3517.114.03.0412.213.7-1.58
Terrence Williams12110.000.50-0.500.29-1027-3717.114.03.0411.513.8-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 94, OKC 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
MEM 79, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
MIN 97, PHI 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%