NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	8.1 [232]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +21.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	2.4 [565]		LVP	Randy Foye (LAC): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	-0.00	0.13	-0.00	9	55%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	19	56%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.00	14	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	15	36%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	5	17%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	18	55%	0.21	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.11,0.18	0.18	-0.04	0.20	-0.02	14	47%	0.24	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.09
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.03	17	60%	0.20	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	25.4	15.8	24.3	2.6	34.0	130.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.5%

LAC +29.9%

LAC +13.3%

HOU -14.5%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	107.3	110.4	105.7
season	15.2	15.4		109.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	16.5	17.2	13.2	15.0
LAC	12.8	14.8	16.3	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-12	21	15.3	14.8	0.47	17.0	14.3	2.66
Brad Miller	36	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-11	19	15.6	14.6	1.07	15.9	14.5	1.37
Jordan Hill	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-4	5	12.4	15.4	-3.04	12.5	15.5	-2.96
Patrick Patterson	17	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-3	3	17.1	14.5	2.61	15.1	15.0	0.10
Kevin Martin	60	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-10	17	14.4	15.9	-1.43	15.9	13.5	2.34
Courtney Lee	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.53	9	-12	21	14.6	16.1	-1.54	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Luis Scola	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-2	1	14.2	17.4	-3.17	15.1	15.0	0.10
Charles Hayes	48	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.12	-17	14	-31	16.0	14.0	2.02	15.6	14.5	1.06
Kyle Lowry	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	9	-21	14.8	15.3	-0.47	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Chase Budinger	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	16	-35	15.7	13.7	1.96	14.1	16.6	-2.51

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	64	65	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-15	33	14.0	17.1	-3.14	15.1	14.7	0.43
Blake Griffin	67	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-8	19	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.3	14.2	1.04
DeAndre Jordan	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	15.5	13.5	1.93	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Eric Gordon	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-4	11	14.3	17.0	-2.66	14.5	16.3	-1.76
Al-Farouq Aminu	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	0	3	15.2	14.9	0.30	16.0	14.3	1.68
Randy Foye	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.45	-7	10	-17	16.4	14.1	2.37	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Ryan Gomes	30	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	-7	17	15.0	15.0	-0.05	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Chris Kaman	46	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	11	-19	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.0	14.9	0.06
Eric Bledsoe	15	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	14	-25	16.7	14.7	2.02	15.6	14.9	0.75
Jamario Moon	35	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	17	-31	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.2	15.4	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, CHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.64,0.91,0.91,1	91.8%
MIA 90, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.74,1	91.7%
CLE 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%