NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	6.2 [589]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +15.3%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.9 [776]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -23.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	22	61%	0.23	3	-0.07	13	62%	-0.08
Eric Maynor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	16	56%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.07	-0.02	10	36%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Daequan Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luther Head	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.02	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.15	0.06	22	55%	-0.05	6	-0.19	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	32.2	16.3	30.4	2.5	37.2	143.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.8%

OKC +1.4%

SAC -13.8%

OKC +28.4%

SAC -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.5	102.1	100.0	105.7
season	15.0	14.9		108.8	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.6		107.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.9	12.4	14.2	18.9	14.6
SAC	16.1	14.7	13.5	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	39	40	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.10	21	-19	40	14.3	14.9	-0.57	16.0	14.4	1.67
James Harden	65	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-10	22	14.9	14.2	0.64	15.5	14.2	1.33
Serge Ibaka	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-11	24	15.6	13.4	2.24	15.5	14.5	1.03
Eric Maynor	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	-4	10	15.4	14.3	1.09	15.9	14.7	1.17
Jeff Green	66	64	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.46	-8	10	-18	15.1	13.6	1.48	15.2	14.7	0.52
Kevin Durant	79	79	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	11	-20	14.5	15.4	-0.91	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Russell Westbrook	67	67	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	6	-10	14.5	14.9	-0.36	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Daequan Cook	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	13.5	14.8	-1.25	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Thabo Sefolosha	33	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.23	-10	12	-22	13.8	15.1	-1.31	13.9	15.7	-1.76
Nenad Krstic	41	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	15	-28	13.5	15.5	-1.93	13.9	15.9	-2.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	38	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-9	16	14.5	15.4	-0.93	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Luther Head	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	22.3	14.8	7.52	11.3	14.8	-3.42
Donte Greene	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-2	2	12.0	16.2	-4.21	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Pooh Jeter	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	7	-16	15.7	14.9	0.82	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Omri Casspi	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-4	6	15.9	13.5	2.33	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Beno Udrih	85	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.54	9	-11	20	14.9	15.9	-1.00	15.0	12.1	2.89
Samuel Dalembert	58	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	0	-2	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.9	13.0	2.91
Tyreke Evans	93	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	15.0	16.7	-1.78	14.8	11.3	3.42
Carl Landry	38	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	9	-20	15.5	14.7	0.75	13.8	15.2	-1.47
DeMarcus Cousins	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	4	-10	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.8	14.3	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 107, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CHH 102, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NYK 92, WAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%