NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	6.5 [526]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +16.2%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	2.1 [899]		LVP	Randy Foye (LAC): -27.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	16	68%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	10	72%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	2	57%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	11	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	12	36%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.16	-0.11	0.01	13	27%	-0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	8	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	71%	0.18	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.02	13	55%	0.12	4	-0.10	14	57%	-0.06
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	53%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	15	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	34.5	16.7	28.1	2.5	33.5	143.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +29.0%

LAC -8.4%

ORL +26.4%

ORL +3.7%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.5	90.4	106.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.2		104.4	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	14.2	18.6	15.9	15.6
ORL	15.9	14.6	15.0	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	67	68	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.01	11	-27	38	14.8	17.4	-2.61	16.1	12.0	4.10
Brian Cook	22	24	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-14	12	13.0	16.4	-3.32	13.6	15.3	-1.75
Rasual Butler	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	10.5	16.1	-5.56	11.4	15.2	-3.84
Ike Diogu	45	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-13	10	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Blake Griffin	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	15.8	15.0	0.76	15.5	13.3	2.23
DeAndre Jordan	49	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	15.8	15.4	0.40	15.2	14.6	0.61
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	16.6	14.8	1.86	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Ryan Gomes	57	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-4	-8	15.6	15.6	-0.06	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Eric Bledsoe	48	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	1	-18	16.5	14.7	1.78	13.2	16.6	-3.41
Randy Foye	65	66	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.09	-24	8	-32	16.3	13.9	2.44	15.3	13.9	1.49

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	72	71	0.86	-0.36	1.21	-0.02	30	-14	44	15.0	14.5	0.49	16.5	12.7	3.77
JJ Redick	50	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	3	10	14.7	15.1	-0.33	16.9	14.1	2.81
Hedo Turkoglu	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	1	14	15.2	14.0	1.21	15.1	17.3	-2.18
Earl Clark	45	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	9	-2	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.1	16.0	-0.86
Gilbert Arenas	44	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	5	6	13.7	15.9	-2.13	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Jameer Nelson	57	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	10	-4	15.4	14.2	1.14	15.6	15.5	0.14
Ryan Anderson	50	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	7	2	15.1	14.6	0.52	16.0	15.1	0.86
Jason Richardson	54	54	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	13	-10	15.4	14.3	1.06	16.0	15.0	1.02
Chris Duhon	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	12.8	15.0	-2.20	7.2	16.1	-8.86
Malik Allen	23	23	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.06	-14	30	-44	14.5	15.0	-0.49	12.7	16.5	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.5%
DEN 90, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.92,1	93.2%
ATL 92, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%