inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 121 Excitement4.1 [1026] MVPPaul Millsap (UTA): +24.5%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback3.2 [300] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -14.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0.210,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.240.050.081582%0.262-0.051090%0.00
Jeff Green0.190,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.220.040.079100%0.1900.002100%0.01
Eric Maynor0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.01-0.004125%0.132-0.0400%0.00
James Harden0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01964%0.0700.00450%-0.02
Nenad Krstic0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02860%0.0500.004100%0.02
Daequan Cook0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011754%0.133-0.095100%0.02
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00422%-0.0200.0010%-0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.260.000.022076%0.2500.00580%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.00-0.00878%0.1200.00250%-0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.041264%0.071-0.02978%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.01460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01240%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02233%-0.0110.002100%0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.051123%-0.0700.00450%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.050.011544%-0.054-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.328.415.020.21.833.6127.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +46.6%
OKC +7.5%
OKC +1.1%
UTA -6.2%
OKC +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCUTANBAOKCUTANBA
this game16.016.615.5137.5118.0105.7
season15.015.9108.8106.4
opponent15.315.6108.2105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.615.415.617.416.0
UTA13.218.917.916.916.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook24260.390.110.27-0.021421215.016.4-1.4217.216.30.85
Serge Ibaka47450.350.150.21-0.2621-52615.616.5-0.9317.615.52.03
Kevin Durant70690.350.150.20-0.00124815.816.6-0.7816.815.61.16
Russell Westbrook65660.310.190.13-0.01115615.716.8-1.0716.217.6-1.37
Jeff Green57560.280.220.05-0.111331015.816.3-0.5216.516.6-0.14
Nick Collison27280.220.28-0.050.0279-216.016.00.0718.015.92.17
James Harden49490.210.29-0.08-0.0597216.315.60.6216.416.8-0.41
Eric Maynor23230.190.31-0.130.04511-616.815.71.0717.616.21.37
Nenad Krstic37390.150.35-0.210.17-117-1816.315.80.5316.416.7-0.30
Thabo Sefolosha33340.060.44-0.390.14-319-2216.715.61.0815.817.0-1.18
Royal Ivey450.000.50-0.500.12-420-2418.215.92.378.817.0-8.21
DJ White450.000.50-0.500.12-420-2418.215.92.378.817.0-8.21

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyrylo Fesenko1010-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-171812.117.1-5.0116.815.90.92
Gordon Hayward4947-0.04-0.460.42-0.319-253414.918.6-3.7716.215.80.39
Ronnie Price1617-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-171816.116.7-0.6016.515.90.60
Paul Millsap6667-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-171816.217.5-1.2516.215.20.99
Jeremy Evans1210-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-7-215.816.7-0.8316.915.91.03
Francisco Elson1617-0.27-0.23-0.050.02-10-6-420.115.84.2815.016.2-1.23
Deron Williams6967-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-8-8016.217.7-1.4815.417.9-2.45
Earl Watson2526-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-5-617.616.21.4016.915.61.33
Raja Bell6866-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-2-1216.616.30.3516.115.70.41
Al Jefferson7472-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-15-1-1416.815.31.4615.817.0-1.24
CJ Miles4041-0.46-0.04-0.420.28-259-3418.614.93.7715.816.2-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 105, CHA 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
SAC 109, PHI 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.3%
UTA 91, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.2%