NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	2.6 [1240]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.0 [1261]		LVP	Alexis Ajinca (DAL): -5.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	11	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	14	30%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	69%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	11	33%	0.01	5	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	28.2	19.7	27.2	3.5	32.3	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.2%

SAS +6.9%

SAS +12.8%

SAS +3.9%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	97.8	109.8	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		108.5	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		103.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	16.0	14.2	14.2	15.1
SAS	13.0	16.0	17.1	20.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominique Jones	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-16	20	13.1	15.8	-2.74	19.0	15.4	3.57
Alexis Ajinca	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-14	16	13.7	15.5	-1.83	18.0	15.9	2.10
Brendan Haywood	38	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	16.0	14.4	1.60	17.3	15.8	1.47
Brian Cardinal	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-9	6	15.6	14.8	0.77	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Tyson Chandler	31	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	15.8	14.7	1.17	15.0	17.2	-2.14
Ian Mahinmi	22	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	12.4	15.9	-3.56	17.0	16.2	0.75
Sasha Pavlovic	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-14	16	14.7	15.3	-0.61	16.6	16.2	0.41
Jason Terry	43	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-7	2	15.2	14.9	0.32	16.0	16.8	-0.83
DeShawn Stevenson	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-1	-10	15.7	14.3	1.45	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Jose Juan Barea	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-12	12	15.0	15.1	-0.05	17.0	15.7	1.30
Jason Kidd	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	2	-16	15.2	14.9	0.21	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Shawn Marion	56	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.25	-23	11	-34	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.9	17.1	-1.20

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	49	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.22	22	-10	32	13.9	19.3	-5.45	17.0	13.0	3.91
DeJuan Blair	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	6	0	14.8	19.6	-4.84	14.7	15.7	-0.91
George Hill	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	16.2	16.7	-0.55	15.1	15.1	0.03
Tim Duncan	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	-2	16	16.0	16.8	-0.87	16.0	14.2	1.72
Tony Parker	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	3	6	15.4	17.5	-2.19	15.6	14.4	1.18
Gary Neal	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	17.0	15.6	1.39	14.1	16.2	-2.18
Richard Jefferson	53	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	4	4	17.5	14.8	2.70	15.5	14.4	1.04
Matt Bonner	18	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	4	4	13.6	17.1	-3.47	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Antonio McDyess	40	41	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	14	-16	19.1	14.3	4.77	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Tiago Splitter	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.28	-9	21	-30	20.4	14.8	5.60	13.7	15.7	-1.99
Chris Quinn	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	18	-24	19.7	15.7	3.98	12.3	15.6	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, WAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 94, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 79, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%