inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 110 Excitement7.3 [376] MVPMonta Ellis (GSW): +19.3%
New Orleans Hornets 103 Comeback9.2 [68] LVPEmeka Okafor (NOH): -12.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.190.090.110.012355%0.211-0.02786%0.03
Ekpe Udoh0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.003100%0.1200.0000%0.00
David Lee0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.110.060.070.01862%0.1100.005100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.00480%0.1000.00250%-0.00
Andris Biedrins0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.050.021170%0.082-0.058100%0.05
Dorell Wright0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.02-0.061343%0.103-0.1040%-0.03
Reggie Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.040.02538%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Acie Law-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lou Amundson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00837%-0.0200.00333%-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.04-0.01971%0.183-0.08333%-0.04
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00387%0.1000.00250%-0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.020.021263%0.092-0.041471%-0.05
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.070.001267%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02533%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
David West0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.08-0.011452%0.013-0.10367%-0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.08-0.001048%-0.032-0.073100%0.01
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.040.01443%-0.013-0.12633%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.026.015.530.72.042.2144.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +29.8%
GSW +16.4%
NOH -33.1%
GSW +28.3%
GSW +8.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWNOHNBAGSWNOHNBA
this game15.015.615.5118.3108.4105.7
season14.816.2106.6104.6
opponent15.915.2104.4109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.916.913.613.715.0
NOH14.814.417.116.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh34340.72-0.220.930.2217-102715.114.90.2316.115.40.71
Stephen Curry78800.55-0.050.590.318-1914.616.9-2.3115.715.40.28
Monta Ellis88910.54-0.040.580.3370714.917.0-2.1115.910.55.36
Dorell Wright70710.490.010.480.258-1914.715.9-1.1615.416.4-0.99
Vladimir Radmanovic33340.490.010.470.0216-92512.316.5-4.1816.915.01.90
David Lee47490.300.200.110.42-411-1516.413.62.8015.316.0-0.67
Lou Amundson42410.050.45-0.40-0.0743115.414.70.6515.815.50.30
Acie Law1716-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-18-917.214.52.6615.115.7-0.68
Reggie Williams3233-0.180.68-0.87-0.01-613-1914.915.0-0.1414.316.3-2.04
Andris Biedrins2426-0.390.89-1.290.02-1421-3516.214.61.6315.615.7-0.08

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Smith4140-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-4115.915.40.4314.715.2-0.48
David West7573-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-111515.017.9-2.9414.616.3-1.72
Marcus Thornton99-0.17-0.330.150.09-92-1117.415.42.0014.215.1-0.86
Jarrett Jack2221-0.18-0.320.14-0.04-5-2-317.515.12.4316.214.61.60
Chris Paul7775-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-7715.416.8-1.4114.716.2-1.45
Willie Green5553-0.24-0.260.03-0.12-4-3-115.715.50.2714.515.7-1.18
Trevor Ariza7573-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.23-2-5315.516.2-0.7214.616.4-1.78
Quincy Pondexter2021-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-70-716.215.50.7216.314.61.66
Marco Belinelli5656-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.440-7715.116.3-1.1915.414.41.08
Emeka Okafor4544-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.18-92-1116.115.20.8716.014.11.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.24,0.14,0.03,0.15,0.34,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, CHI 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.75,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,091.0%
HOU 87, GSW 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.05,090.0%
DET 81, CHI 740.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.04,089.9%