NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	5.7 [693]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): +21.4%
Washington Wizards	81		Comeback	3.8 [385]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -19.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.07	-0.04	16	67%	0.27	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	8	81%	0.17	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	8	52%	0.12	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	7	61%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	20	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	8	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.4	15.4	23.1	2.5	27.7	124.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +27.3%

NOH +6.6%

NOH +14.1%

NOH +4.6%

WAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	WAS	NBA	NOH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	103.4	93.1	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		104.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		108.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	16.1	16.0	19.0	16.6
WAS	18.0	15.2	15.3	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	72	70	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.04	26	-15	41	16.5	17.1	-0.52	16.3	15.2	1.12
David West	70	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-4	19	16.7	16.5	0.15	15.6	17.7	-2.12
Chris Paul	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	16.2	17.7	-1.49	15.6	17.2	-1.51
Emeka Okafor	73	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	2	7	16.2	18.6	-2.42	15.9	16.9	-1.05
Jason Smith	22	22	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	8	-5	17.0	16.5	0.54	18.0	15.4	2.57
Marco Belinelli	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	1	9	16.6	16.7	-0.20	15.4	16.9	-1.57
Willie Green	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	13	-15	17.2	16.2	0.95	16.2	16.0	0.15
Jarrett Jack	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	16	-21	17.8	16.1	1.66	16.9	15.7	1.20
Quincy Pondexter	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	11	-11	19.8	16.5	3.35	18.0	16.0	2.01
Aaron Gray	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	16	-21	17.2	16.6	0.67	15.6	16.1	-0.59
Marcus Thornton	16	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	20	-29	15.7	16.8	-1.09	17.2	15.8	1.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-17	23	16.0	16.1	-0.10	18.4	16.2	2.19
JaVale McGee	58	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-14	17	15.7	16.8	-1.02	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Al Thornton	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-15	19	16.7	15.6	1.09	16.7	16.6	0.12
John Wall	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-10	9	15.4	17.6	-2.14	17.6	14.6	3.02
Lester Hudson	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-1	-9	17.6	15.4	2.14	14.6	17.6	-3.02
Rashard Lewis	73	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.7	17.9	-2.12	16.7	16.3	0.39
Hilton Armstrong	23	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	16.7	15.9	0.78	16.5	16.7	-0.14
Nick Young	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	2	-15	16.0	16.3	-0.22	16.9	15.2	1.73
Andray Blatche	70	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.05	-25	14	-39	16.3	15.4	0.90	16.0	19.3	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.37,0.23,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	93.6%
DAL 95, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%
MIA 117, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%