NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	2.3 [1272]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +9.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.1 [987]		LVP	Earl Boykins (MIL): -6.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	48%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.15	13	72%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	11	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.22	0.01	0.14	18	69%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	12	69%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	8	53%	0.07	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	14	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	46%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	31.3	15.6	27.0	1.8	28.0	131.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.5%

POR +2.3%

POR +2.0%

POR +5.1%

MIL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	17.8	15.5	96.4	127.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.5		100.1	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.1	17.4	17.2	15.2	16.9
POR	16.3	15.4	20.7	19.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	40	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-23	20	15.4	18.4	-3.00	20.3	15.9	4.43
Larry Sanders	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.21	-9	-17	8	13.0	17.9	-4.87	20.3	17.2	3.13
Drew Gooden	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-25	24	17.4	16.6	0.82	18.6	17.2	1.38
Earl Boykins	45	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	-11	-4	16.8	17.1	-0.38	18.6	16.9	1.73
Chris Douglas-Roberts	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	-7	-12	16.3	17.7	-1.45	17.1	18.6	-1.48
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-8	-10	16.6	17.8	-1.22	17.9	17.5	0.45
Keyon Dooling	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-14	2	17.8	15.7	2.15	17.2	18.7	-1.49
Ersan Ilyasova	32	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-10	-6	18.4	16.0	2.36	15.8	19.1	-3.30
John Salmons	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-12	-2	17.2	16.5	0.75	18.1	17.3	0.82
Andrew Bogut	43	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	-3	-20	18.4	15.4	3.00	15.9	20.3	-4.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	57	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	9	8	16.9	19.8	-2.91	18.0	15.0	2.97
Andre Miller	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.36	28	-2	30	17.5	18.3	-0.78	16.7	17.3	-0.64
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	5	16	18.0	15.0	3.03	17.0	16.4	0.55
Rudy Fernandez	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	6	14	18.1	16.6	1.48	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Sean Marks	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	16	-6	19.1	16.5	2.66	15.9	17.9	-1.98
Wesley Matthews	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.44	25	1	24	16.5	19.6	-3.08	18.0	15.3	2.65
Luke Babbitt	30	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.22	12	14	-2	19.0	17.1	1.87	15.2	18.1	-2.90
Dante Cunningham	10	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	23	-20	13.8	18.3	-4.52	17.2	16.9	0.36
Patty Mills	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	28	-30	18.3	17.5	0.78	17.3	16.7	0.64
Armon Johnson	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	30	-34	22.2	17.5	4.71	15.4	17.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
PHX 113, HOU 149	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NYK 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%