NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	7.5 [348]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +35.8%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	3.9 [456]		LVP	Sasha Vujacic (NJN): -9.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	75%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	14	32%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.24	6	-0.24	7	86%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	0.00	-0.08	0.02	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.23	0.00	26	58%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	6	83%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	9	83%	0.23	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	16	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.04
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	483.7	2.7	27.0	17.6	27.3	2.7	43.2	604.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.2%

NJN -11.6%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +12.4%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.5	101.1	107.7	105.7
season	16.4	15.1		101.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		111.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	18.5	17.8	15.6	16.7
TOR	14.2	15.8	14.3	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	28	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-5	4	16.7	16.7	-0.00	16.2	14.4	1.75
Quinton Ross	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	14.6	16.8	-2.20	11.8	15.2	-3.35
Ben Uzoh	21	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	16.4	16.8	-0.33	15.9	14.7	1.26
Sasha Vujacic	48	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-10	14	16.5	16.9	-0.34	16.6	12.9	3.71
Kris Humphries	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	15.5	19.1	-3.56	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Derrick Favors	29	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	2	-10	19.1	15.5	3.56	16.6	14.2	2.37
Travis Outlaw	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	16.5	17.4	-0.92	15.1	14.2	0.95
Brook Lopez	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-5	4	17.1	15.8	1.36	14.6	15.8	-1.26
Jordan Farmar	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	5	-16	16.8	16.4	0.38	13.6	17.6	-4.01
Devin Harris	67	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.7	16.7	0.02	14.5	16.2	-1.64

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	65	66	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.35	13	-7	20	14.4	16.4	-1.98	17.2	15.2	1.99
Linas Kleiza	86	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.8	17.0	-2.15	16.7	16.3	0.37
Amir Johnson	42	44	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	13.6	16.1	-2.50	17.4	16.0	1.37
Andrea Bargnani	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	5	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.60	16.2	18.7	-2.47
Leandro Barbosa	47	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	15.7	14.2	1.52	16.6	16.8	-0.16
DeMar DeRozan	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	14.4	16.2	-1.75	16.6	16.9	-0.25
Joey Dorsey	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	5	-4	16.9	14.4	2.48	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Ed Davis	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	16.4	14.2	2.17	17.3	16.4	0.92
Jerryd Bayless	27	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.09	-6	12	-18	16.0	14.5	1.47	15.9	17.0	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	92.8%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.3%
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%