NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	4.5 [951]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +28.3%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.4 [1134]		LVP	Manny Harris (CLE): -6.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	-0.00	0.03	15	73%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	13	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jawad Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.01	0.11	8	76%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	7	69%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	5	20%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.31	0.01	0.04	19	77%	0.32	1	-0.04	14	93%	0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.03	11	62%	0.17	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	10	76%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	28.3	16.0	26.2	1.7	25.2	126.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.6%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +6.4%

CLE -3.7%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.5	15.5	102.2	119.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.2		100.8	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	15.0	14.3	15.4	14.6
HOU	17.3	15.7	14.5	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	65	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-14	13	13.8	16.4	-2.58	16.9	15.8	1.11
Anderson Varejao	54	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-10	5	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.5	16.6	-0.10
Jawad Williams	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-15	15	14.8	14.5	0.30	18.7	15.7	3.02
Manny Harris	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-13	11	15.2	14.3	0.90	17.0	16.3	0.76
Mo Williams	63	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-8	1	14.1	15.8	-1.74	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Ramon Sessions	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	15.8	14.1	1.74	17.3	16.1	1.16
Daniel Gibson	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-2	-11	14.3	15.2	-0.90	16.3	17.0	-0.76
Anthony Parker	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	0	-15	14.5	14.8	-0.30	15.7	18.7	-3.02
Leon Powe	33	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.26	16.0	16.8	-0.74
JJ Hickson	34	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	-2	-11	16.5	13.5	2.96	16.4	16.6	-0.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	58	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	15.7	17.9	-2.25	15.3	13.4	1.86
Kevin Martin	64	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	0	15	16.4	16.9	-0.48	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Luis Scola	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	15.7	17.7	-2.02	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Kyle Lowry	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	16.8	16.0	0.79	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Chase Budinger	44	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	5	5	17.1	16.0	1.05	15.8	13.7	2.08
Jordan Hill	31	30	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	10	-5	17.2	16.2	1.06	15.7	14.1	1.64
Shane Battier	59	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	4	7	16.2	17.2	-0.98	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Courtney Lee	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	2	11	15.9	16.9	-1.09	15.6	14.0	1.66
Jermaine Taylor	15	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	18	-21	16.9	16.4	0.49	16.3	14.3	1.96
Jared Jeffries	4	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.5	16.4	3.11	12.5	14.7	-2.17
Ish Smith	4	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.5	16.4	3.11	12.5	14.7	-2.17
Charles Hayes	24	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	20	-25	18.8	15.7	3.13	12.3	15.5	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 97, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 90, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%