NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	5.7 [697]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.6%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.2 [883]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -8.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.09	0.19	-0.03	8	82%	0.34	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.19	0.20	0.02	0.04	22	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	2	71%	0.06	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	14	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.13	0.05	12	89%	0.43	3	-0.13	11	73%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26	0.26	-0.08	0.27	-0.07	12	50%	0.31	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.02	9	85%	0.17	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	89%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	5	27%	-0.02	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.8	28.4	16.6	27.3	2.6	38.3	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.8%

DAL +4.5%

DAL +5.1%

UTA -10.1%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.5	107.8	115.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		106.4	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	15.2	15.6	16.5	16.3
DAL	14.2	17.5	15.0	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-15	24	15.7	16.6	-0.96	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Jeremy Evans	25	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-12	18	15.8	16.5	-0.72	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Earl Watson	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-10	14	17.3	15.9	1.38	17.2	15.4	1.81
CJ Miles	54	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.51	15	-21	36	15.5	17.4	-1.85	16.2	15.4	0.84
Ronnie Price	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-19	32	15.3	17.8	-2.50	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Andrei Kirilenko	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	11	-28	17.0	15.7	1.28	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Gordon Hayward	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	17	-40	19.3	15.3	3.99	14.4	16.4	-1.92
Paul Millsap	65	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	6	-18	16.5	15.8	0.72	16.0	15.6	0.42
Deron Williams	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	4	-14	16.0	17.9	-1.95	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Al Jefferson	57	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	9	-24	16.6	15.7	0.96	16.0	15.7	0.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	73	74	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.05	21	-15	36	15.5	17.6	-2.03	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Caron Butler	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-9	24	16.0	15.7	0.27	16.9	15.0	1.85
Jason Kidd	64	65	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-9	24	15.8	16.1	-0.25	16.6	15.3	1.33
DeShawn Stevenson	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-13	32	15.1	16.6	-1.49	17.7	15.1	2.54
Brendan Haywood	35	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.64	-13	19	-32	16.6	15.5	1.11	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Tyson Chandler	52	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.25	16	-10	26	15.7	16.1	-0.40	17.2	14.9	2.27
Jason Terry	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.50	-16	22	-38	16.3	15.5	0.87	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Jose Juan Barea	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	17	-28	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Shawn Marion	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.33	-16	22	-38	16.4	15.5	0.86	15.1	17.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.98,1,1	92.8%
UTA 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.2%
ORL 82, CHH 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	92.1%