NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	3.2 [1180]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +20.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	1.4 [1061]		LVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): -7.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	86%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	12	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	16	47%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.26	0.01	0.07	12	96%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.05	13	62%	0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	10	66%	0.05	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	12	41%	-0.00	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.7	28.2	15.4	22.9	1.8	27.4	126.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.6%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +12.2%

PHI +16.5%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	106.6	127.2	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		100.8	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	14.5	15.5	15.8	15.1
PHI	12.9	13.7	19.5	21.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	12.2	15.3	-3.06	22.2	16.0	6.15
Leon Powe	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-17	14	16.2	14.9	1.33	19.2	15.7	3.50
Ryan Hollins	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-15	10	14.2	15.3	-1.15	13.0	17.3	-4.26
Anthony Parker	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-19	18	15.2	14.9	0.28	17.8	14.1	3.66
JJ Hickson	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-17	14	14.7	15.6	-0.95	17.3	15.2	2.05
Ramon Sessions	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-9	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.38	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Jawad Williams	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-6	-8	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.5	17.3	-2.84
Joey Graham	39	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-12	4	15.2	15.0	0.25	15.5	17.1	-1.57
Mo Williams	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-11	2	15.2	14.8	0.38	17.1	15.1	2.02
Antawn Jamison	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	-3	-14	15.6	14.7	0.95	15.2	17.3	-2.05
Daniel Gibson	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-4	-12	15.3	14.8	0.51	16.1	16.8	-0.68
Anderson Varejao	57	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-8	-4	15.1	15.1	-0.05	16.7	15.9	0.72

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	2	16	15.2	18.1	-2.89	15.3	14.7	0.61
Jrue Holiday	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	3	14	16.3	16.9	-0.66	15.4	13.4	2.02
Jodie Meeks	58	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	4	12	16.2	16.6	-0.42	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Andre Iguodala	70	69	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	5	10	16.3	16.8	-0.52	15.2	14.8	0.42
Elton Brand	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	7	6	16.1	17.0	-0.90	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Spencer Hawes	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	10	0	17.4	14.7	2.66	15.4	14.6	0.76
Evan Turner	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	15	-10	17.9	15.7	2.19	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Lou Williams	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	15	-10	17.3	15.7	1.64	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Andres Nocioni	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	19	-18	14.7	16.7	-2.05	14.2	15.3	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 97, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
GSW 81, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 79, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%