NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	3.7 [1128]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +8.7%
Toronto Raptors	78		Comeback	1.2 [750]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -14.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Al Horford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.04
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.09	6	72%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	20%	-0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	17	39%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.2	16.5	26.9	2.0	26.2	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.4%

ATL +1.2%

ATL +3.6%

ATL +8.2%

TOR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	17.4	13.9	15.5	104.3	84.8	105.7
season	16.5	15.1		104.0	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.3	16.7	16.0	18.5	17.4
TOR	16.8	14.7	13.4	11.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.22	24	-6	30	18.1	14.9	3.22	14.1	13.6	0.51
Joe Johnson	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-3	24	17.2	17.6	-0.45	14.8	13.0	1.78
Marvin Williams	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	3	12	17.3	17.5	-0.16	14.3	12.7	1.60
Mike Bibby	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	2	14	17.5	17.2	0.24	14.3	13.5	0.78
Al Horford	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	6	6	17.9	16.8	1.10	15.0	12.6	2.40
Maurice Evans	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	13	-8	17.3	17.4	-0.14	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Josh Powell	29	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	17	-16	17.4	17.3	0.08	11.9	15.0	-3.13
Jamal Crawford	50	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	8	2	16.9	17.9	-0.92	14.0	13.9	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	20	-22	16.3	17.6	-1.29	13.6	14.0	-0.38
Jordan Crawford	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	18.7	17.2	1.47	9.4	14.4	-5.01
Jeff Teague	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	25	-32	15.1	17.9	-2.75	12.5	14.3	-1.80

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-23	28	10.8	14.5	-3.73	16.4	17.5	-1.10
Jerryd Bayless	37	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-18	18	12.9	14.6	-1.67	16.9	17.6	-0.72
Joey Dorsey	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-18	18	14.5	13.6	0.86	18.1	16.9	1.14
Amir Johnson	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-10	2	13.1	14.6	-1.53	17.1	17.6	-0.53
DeMar DeRozan	64	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-10	2	14.0	13.9	0.02	18.1	15.8	2.24
Linas Kleiza	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-8	-2	14.0	13.9	0.14	17.2	17.5	-0.33
Leandro Barbosa	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	0	-18	13.9	14.0	-0.04	17.1	17.8	-0.76
Jose Calderon	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-1	-16	14.6	12.9	1.71	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Sonny Weems	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-3	-12	14.9	12.9	1.95	17.1	17.7	-0.65
Andrea Bargnani	66	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	1	-20	14.1	13.5	0.67	17.5	16.9	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHX 106, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIN 105, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%