NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.0 [239]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +17.0%
Dallas Mavericks	83		Comeback	6.9 [99]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -24.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	12	61%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	51%	0.14	4	-0.17	9	56%	-0.03
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	10	38%	0.02	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	26	62%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	1	73%	0.17	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	3	87%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.07
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	15	28%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	28.2	18.5	31.2	3.5	47.5	159.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.4%

DAL -7.4%

CHI +39.3%

DAL -34.4%

CHI +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	18.0	15.5	15.5	102.3	96.5	105.7
season	15.7	15.7		106.5	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.6	18.2	16.8	19.5	18.0
DAL	16.7	15.3	14.5	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-4	13	17.9	18.4	-0.41	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Kyle Korver	44	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	19.0	17.0	2.02	16.0	14.9	1.16
Derrick Rose	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	18.7	14.2	4.54	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Taj Gibson	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	18.7	17.1	1.55	16.1	14.6	1.49
CJ Watson	34	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	0	5	15.9	19.4	-3.57	14.7	16.0	-1.38
Luol Deng	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	6	-7	17.9	18.3	-0.32	15.2	16.5	-1.40
Ronnie Brewer	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-3	11	15.5	20.2	-4.60	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Omer Asik	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	3	-1	17.2	18.2	-1.03	15.6	15.4	0.20
Keith Bogans	35	35	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	15	-25	18.5	17.7	0.80	15.1	15.8	-0.71

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-11	17	14.8	16.7	-1.88	19.1	16.0	3.15
DeShawn Stevenson	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.2	18.9	-5.63
Jason Kidd	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-10	15	15.3	15.9	-0.65	18.8	16.3	2.45
Tyson Chandler	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	15.4	15.6	-0.16	20.0	15.6	4.41
Jason Terry	68	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-7	9	14.6	18.6	-3.96	18.2	17.2	1.04
Brendan Haywood	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	6	-17	16.4	14.9	1.53	16.2	19.0	-2.84
Dirk Nowitzki	74	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.8	13.4	2.39	18.0	18.1	-0.12
Jose Juan Barea	35	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	16.7	14.6	2.04	16.1	19.3	-3.20
Shawn Marion	45	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	9	-23	15.6	15.3	0.35	17.3	18.7	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.22,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.28,0.45,0.16,0	90.9%
SAS 86, CHA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.28,0.14,0.16,0	89.7%
PHI 83, VAN 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.18,0	89.6%