inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Excitement6.9 [448] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +12.7%
Boston Celtics 84 Comeback1.4 [274] LVPGlen Davis (BOS): -21.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Maynor0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00675%0.1000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.080,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.08-0.030.08-0.032156%0.217-0.131385%0.08
Royal Ivey0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.010.003100%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00765%0.092-0.05683%0.01
DJ White0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00560%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Morris Peterson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00550%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02329%0.002-0.0610%-0.02
Nenad Krstic-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00725%-0.0700.002100%0.01
James Harden-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16-0.04-0.100.02850%-0.073-0.08887%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.01673%0.161-0.0310100%0.08
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.050.050.030.01-0.01558%0.0500.002100%0.05
Luke Harangody00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0-0.000.05-0.040.02592%0.072-0.07250%-0.02
Rajon Rondo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.03-0.011070%0.114-0.1200%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00233%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011352%0.034-0.1010%-0.02
Semih Erden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.040.00325%-0.061-0.0420%-0.05
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.14-0.04940%-0.1300.002100%0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.09-0.001023%-0.191-0.03633%-0.16
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.030.018.633.32.745.0157.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +9.7%
OKC +28.5%
OKC +16.2%
BOS -3.3%
BOS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCBOSNBAOKCBOSNBA
this game17.114.615.598.991.3105.7
season15.015.7108.8104.8
opponent15.815.699.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.516.417.819.817.1
BOS16.114.914.912.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden69700.53-0.030.550.327-2917.515.81.7214.216.0-1.78
Thabo Sefolosha67700.380.120.270.2741317.216.60.6314.614.60.01
Nick Collison42440.360.140.230.2541317.017.2-0.2415.413.91.51
Russell Westbrook70710.340.160.180.40-27-917.117.1-0.0314.415.4-1.01
Serge Ibaka68690.340.160.170.2823-117.216.70.4614.614.7-0.19
Royal Ivey31320.260.240.030.1250515.917.7-1.7414.714.60.09
DJ White22230.160.34-0.170.0832116.717.2-0.4614.714.60.19
Eric Maynor24250.090.41-0.31-0.0241316.517.3-0.7315.414.31.10
Nenad Krstic47470.050.45-0.400.08-16-717.516.60.9514.115.1-1.00
Morris Peterson109-0.020.52-0.550.01-16-716.517.1-0.6516.014.41.55

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal5454-0.01-0.490.47-0.103-81114.115.3-1.1816.917.4-0.52
Luke Harangody10-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-310.014.8-14.760.017.1-17.08
Nate Robinson2120-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-3116.314.12.1917.117.10.03
Marquis Daniels2022-0.11-0.390.27-0.08-1-4315.314.40.9616.617.2-0.64
Semih Erden2624-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-1-316.313.92.3316.617.2-0.62
Delonte West3231-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.250-5514.114.9-0.8218.316.51.80
Glen Davis4645-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.342-7916.312.93.3716.118.1-1.98
Rajon Rondo6563-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-72-915.013.71.2116.318.9-2.64
Ray Allen6666-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.31-1-4314.016.2-2.2217.316.50.73
Paul Pierce7268-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.27-4-1-314.415.3-0.9617.216.60.64
Kevin Garnett5757-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-94-1313.216.9-3.6918.215.13.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 76, CHH 710.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18,093.8%
POR 101, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,093.7%
SAS 91, MIN 850.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,093.6%