NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	101		Excitement	8.4 [189]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): +40.5%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	3.7 [228]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -12.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.3,0.41	0.05	0.35	0.00	9	64%	0.43	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.10
Stephen Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.14	0.01	13	62%	0.25	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	8	62%	0.15	6	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	60%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.25	3	-0.19	5	80%	0.04
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.08	0.00	12	69%	0.11	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	18%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.12	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	20	54%	0.06	5	-0.17	6	83%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	32.2	16.4	27.6	2.3	35.3	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +41.9%

CHA +6.8%

TOR -3.7%

CHA +5.0%

TOR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.5	108.6	105.5	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		102.3	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	15.6	14.6	16.0	15.7
TOR	14.0	13.8	18.1	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	84	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	15.9	14.4	1.42	15.8	13.6	2.24
Boris Diaw	73	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-5	15	15.8	15.6	0.17	15.5	16.1	-0.60
D.J. Augustin	67	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-4	13	15.8	15.7	0.11	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Stephen Jackson	79	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	3	-1	15.6	16.7	-1.16	15.1	18.5	-3.46
Tyrus Thomas	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.39	-3	8	-11	16.2	15.4	0.77	16.6	14.8	1.84
Nazr Mohammed	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-3	11	15.4	15.9	-0.58	15.7	15.5	0.21
DeSagana Diop	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	16.7	15.6	1.11	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Derrick Brown	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	5	-5	16.2	15.7	0.54	16.2	15.5	0.74
Matt Carroll	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.19	10.1	16.1	-5.97
Shaun Livingston	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.7	15.8	-0.11	17.6	14.8	2.80
Gerald Henderson	36	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	15.3	16.0	-0.74	16.5	15.0	1.44

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	38	40	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.05	10	-15	25	15.6	15.5	0.10	15.8	15.7	0.12
Linas Kleiza	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	4	-13	16.4	15.1	1.24	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Jarrett Jack	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	14.7	16.5	-1.83	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Amir Johnson	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-7	9	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Reggie Evans	53	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	4	-13	17.6	12.8	4.82	16.2	14.9	1.30
Sonny Weems	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.42	5	-10	15	15.3	16.3	-0.99	16.1	14.4	1.73
Jose Calderon	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Andrea Bargnani	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	14.6	20.5	-5.86	15.7	15.9	-0.18
DeMar DeRozan	41	42	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.38	-16	11	-27	15.3	15.8	-0.55	15.2	16.1	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	92.6%
MIN 121, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.17,0.28,0	92.0%
DEN 111, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.03,0	91.9%