NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	8.8 [140]		MVP	Dorell Wright (MIA): +30.1%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	3.4 [644]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -19.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,0.07,0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.02	12	52%	0.20	4	-0.13	7	57%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.10	-0.07	0.01	9	83%	0.17	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	63%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	13	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	4	67%	0.06	4	-0.25	1	0%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.15	-0.00	12	70%	0.30	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.06,0.22	0.22	-0.02	0.23	-0.01	18	47%	0.29	3	-0.06	11	55%	-0.10
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	9	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.12	6	83%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	10	20%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.8	15.7	25.3	2.0	41.1	141.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -38.6%

MIA +21.2%

MIA +28.9%

MIA +39.6%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.5	16.5	15.3	103.3	105.3	106.0
season	15.1	16.2		104.2	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		102.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	13.1	14.0	17.9	14.5
MIA	14.5	15.7	16.6	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	67	67	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.17	19	-23	42	13.7	16.7	-3.01	17.4	14.2	3.14
Jodie Meeks	21	21	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-9	14	14.3	14.5	-0.26	19.9	15.5	4.44
Jason Kapono	62	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.45	15	-19	34	13.3	17.0	-3.78	17.5	14.0	3.55
Jason Smith	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.22	-8	4	-12	16.3	13.6	2.67	18.5	15.4	3.12
Willie Green	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	3	-10	14.7	14.4	0.33	15.7	16.7	-1.07
Lou Williams	48	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	14.3	14.7	-0.41	17.2	15.6	1.54
Marreese Speights	19	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	11	-26	17.4	13.7	3.63	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Samuel Dalembert	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	13.7	16.1	-2.36	15.1	19.3	-4.22
Andre Iguodala	72	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.47	-12	8	-20	14.9	13.1	1.71	14.9	21.9	-6.95
Jrue Holiday	54	54	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	8	-20	15.4	13.2	2.22	15.0	18.4	-3.47

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	60	60	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.34	24	-20	44	16.3	16.7	-0.34	15.9	11.8	4.06
Mario Chalmers	56	56	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.40	20	-16	36	16.9	15.8	1.12	15.9	12.4	3.50
Dorell Wright	49	49	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-10	24	16.5	16.4	0.11	15.4	13.4	2.05
Joel Anthony	35	36	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-15	34	16.0	16.7	-0.73	16.7	13.1	3.67
Dwyane Wade	74	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	16.1	17.8	-1.77	13.9	16.7	-2.83
Quentin Richardson	54	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	15.2	18.2	-2.99	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Jermaine O'Neal	54	52	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.20	-18	22	-40	17.4	15.2	2.15	13.1	16.3	-3.20
Carlos Arroyo	54	51	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	0.04	-17	21	-38	17.1	15.6	1.54	13.3	16.0	-2.64
Michael Beasley	34	32	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	0.05	-20	24	-44	16.7	16.3	0.34	11.8	15.9	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.23,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.9,0.47,1	89.1%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	89.0%
SAS 87, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.28,0.31,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	88.8%