NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	2.9 [1201]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +16.9%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.2 [790]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -9.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.01	0.03	13	87%	0.20	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	59%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	17	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	50%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	81%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	9	65%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	12	38%	-0.02	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.6	31.7	15.5	25.4	2.5	33.2	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.0%

POR +10.0%

POR +5.4%

POR +18.4%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	17.3	15.3	15.3	125.0	105.6	106.0
season	16.7	15.2		108.8	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	18.6	16.1	18.5	17.3
SAC	14.0	16.5	15.9	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-2	20	16.9	18.2	-1.30	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Juwan Howard	47	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	6	4	19.0	15.3	3.64	14.7	16.0	-1.24
Andre Miller	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	8	0	16.9	17.8	-0.95	15.6	14.8	0.77
Nicolas Batum	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	-1	18	16.6	17.9	-1.32	16.4	14.3	2.02
Dante Cunningham	18	18	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	7	2	15.4	17.7	-2.35	13.7	15.7	-2.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	10	-4	17.4	17.0	0.38	16.3	13.1	3.24
Marcus Camby	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	8	0	16.5	18.1	-1.63	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jerryd Bayless	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	10	-4	16.8	17.5	-0.65	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Rudy Fernandez	47	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	15	-14	18.9	15.4	3.55	15.3	15.2	0.09
Martell Webster	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	17	-18	18.2	16.9	1.37	15.7	15.1	0.59
Jeff Ayres	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	13.8	17.5	-3.67	10.5	15.5	-5.02
Travis Diener	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	13.8	17.5	-3.67	10.5	15.5	-5.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-18	20	10.5	16.1	-5.66	16.9	17.3	-0.40
Sean May	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-21	26	14.8	15.5	-0.63	19.0	16.5	2.47
Ime Udoka	8	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	13.7	15.4	-1.69	13.0	17.7	-4.69
Omri Casspi	32	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-8	0	15.0	15.5	-0.46	16.4	17.7	-1.26
Donte Greene	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.7	15.1	0.56	17.4	17.2	0.19
Spencer Hawes	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-1	-14	15.6	15.1	0.42	15.0	18.6	-3.57
Francisco Garcia	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-11	6	15.0	15.8	-0.84	17.8	16.4	1.40
Jason Thompson	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-15	14	14.2	16.5	-2.38	18.7	15.8	2.88
Beno Udrih	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-9	2	16.2	14.0	2.17	18.3	15.8	2.46
Tyreke Evans	70	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	3	-22	16.0	12.5	3.52	16.8	18.7	-1.91
Carl Landry	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.12	-21	5	-26	15.9	10.6	5.29	16.9	19.8	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
UTA 111, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
ATL 125, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%