NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.6 [288]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +22.3%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	1.6 [1201]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -18.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.06
Danny Granger	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	23	47%	0.15	1	-0.05	5	60%	0.04
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.02	7	41%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	13	43%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	12	27%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.06	-0.00	9	79%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	19	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	16	87%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	13	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.00	15	40%	-0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	3.7	35.1	16.3	34.8	2.8	29.5	153.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.1%

PHX +14.1%

PHX +8.2%

IND -2.5%

PHX +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.3	106.1	113.0	106.0
season	14.2	14.4		102.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	13.5	12.5	15.0	14.3
PHX	12.2	14.7	13.2	19.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	69	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-16	24	13.5	16.1	-2.61	16.0	11.3	4.71
Roy Hibbert	52	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-11	14	14.1	14.5	-0.42	15.1	14.1	0.94
Mike Dunleavy	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	16.8	13.7	3.13	13.6	14.9	-1.29
A.J. Price	13	12	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.9	14.2	0.70	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Josh McRoberts	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	3	-14	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.9	14.5	0.48
Danny Granger	84	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-7	6	14.0	15.9	-1.83	15.0	12.5	2.55
Brandon Rush	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.2	0.16	14.2	16.6	-2.35
Troy Murphy	88	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.3	14.6	-0.36	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Earl Watson	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	14.8	13.8	0.96	12.9	16.6	-3.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	81	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-1	10	14.5	15.2	-0.72	15.2	10.5	4.69
Jared Dudley	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	14.7	14.5	0.13	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-1	10	14.4	15.4	-1.05	14.4	14.0	0.46
Channing Frye	32	32	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	13.7	15.1	-1.34	15.6	13.7	1.94
Grant Hill	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	15.4	12.6	2.81	14.1	14.9	-0.87
Steve Nash	79	79	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	14.2	16.4	-2.28	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Lou Amundson	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	6	-4	14.0	14.9	-0.90	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Robin Lopez	51	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	13	-18	15.8	13.4	2.44	13.3	15.3	-2.05
Jarron Collins	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	7	-6	13.0	14.6	-1.65	13.0	14.3	-1.33
Earl Clark	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	12	-16	14.4	14.7	-0.23	11.2	14.8	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 96, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
HOU 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.4%