NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	8.3 [182]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +22.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	86		Comeback	2.9 [291]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -47.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	0.01	7	72%	0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	-0.05	0.01	15	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.10
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	11	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	17	39%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.29	-0.06	-0.24	-0.01	16	39%	-0.19	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	9	62%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.11	0.01	14	50%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.16	-0.16	0.08	-0.22	0.02	12	69%	0.10	3	-0.26	8	100%	0.04
Shannon Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.20	-0.00	9	35%	-0.24	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.47	-0.47	-0.12	-0.35	0.00	9	14%	-0.47	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.1	36.5	20.3	28.6	4.3	35.3	153.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.5%

LAL -0.1%

LAL -22.7%

BOS +22.7%

BOS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.3	15.3	94.6	94.5	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		105.7	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	14.1	17.6	19.0	16.1
LAL	16.9	13.6	15.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	78	78	1.07	-0.57	1.63	0.63	15	-14	29	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.5	14.3	1.21
Kevin Garnett	49	50	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-15	31	15.7	16.6	-0.89	16.0	14.6	1.42
Kendrick Perkins	62	61	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.57	8	-7	15	15.8	16.9	-1.14	16.1	13.7	2.45
Rajon Rondo	84	84	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-9	19	16.1	16.2	-0.13	15.5	13.3	2.23
Ray Allen	66	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-4	9	16.8	14.4	2.43	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Tony Allen	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	16.0	16.2	-0.15	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Brian Scalabrine	4	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	6	-11	13.0	16.3	-3.27	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Rasheed Wallace	40	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	11	-21	17.7	14.9	2.87	14.2	16.2	-1.94
Glen Davis	33	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.02	-12	13	-25	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Marquis Daniels	30	26	-0.61	1.11	-1.73	-0.06	-19	20	-39	14.8	16.8	-1.92	14.3	15.7	-1.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	41	44	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.03	11	-12	23	15.4	15.3	0.18	16.3	16.0	0.27
Sasha Vujacic	26	28	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.05	4	-5	9	14.8	15.5	-0.69	17.0	15.7	1.25
Josh Powell	5	5	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-2	3	17.2	15.2	1.97	11.6	16.4	-4.79
Lamar Odom	63	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.48	14	-15	29	15.0	16.0	-1.00	16.6	15.0	1.68
Pau Gasol	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-3	5	15.2	16.1	-0.90	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Shannon Brown	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-3	5	15.1	16.3	-1.19	16.2	15.8	0.45
Andrew Bynum	51	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	13	-27	16.0	14.5	1.46	15.7	16.7	-0.94
Derek Fisher	50	48	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.44	-12	11	-23	15.3	15.4	-0.18	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Metta World Peace	71	71	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.60	-13	12	-25	15.6	14.4	1.21	15.9	16.8	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	91.1%
LAL 91, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0	90.9%
SEA 108, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.8%