NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	87		Excitement	8.4 [175]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (MIA): +25.0%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	8.6 [235]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -27.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.25	0.06	0.19	0.01	12	62%	0.30	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Dwyane Wade	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	17	61%	0.16	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Joel Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	7	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.17
Rafer Alston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	9	58%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.01	20	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	9	10%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.25	-0.25	-0.02	-0.20	0.02	15	47%	-0.14	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.00	7	14%	-0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	28.4	15.7	27.2	2.0	36.5	140.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +86.0%

NJN -24.0%

MIA +9.0%

NJN -21.5%

MIA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.3	95.6	94.4	106.0
season	16.2	15.9		104.4	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.1	15.8	17.0	15.3	16.3
NJN	15.6	15.5	15.7	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	62	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-6	15	16.2	16.5	-0.31	16.4	14.1	2.35
Daequan Cook	69	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	0	3	15.6	18.5	-2.83	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Quentin Richardson	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	16.5	15.9	0.56	16.7	13.3	3.38
Jermaine O'Neal	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	16.0	16.6	-0.65	16.4	15.0	1.41
Carlos Arroyo	54	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	1	1	16.1	16.6	-0.57	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Rafer Alston	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.57	16.9	14.7	2.20
Dwyane Wade	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-2	7	18.2	16.0	2.24	17.2	15.4	1.81
Joel Anthony	40	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	17.2	15.6	1.59	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Dorell Wright	40	36	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	8	-13	16.6	16.1	0.48	13.9	16.9	-3.06
Udonis Haslem	39	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.6	-0.67	14.4	16.6	-2.21

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	35	37	0.53	-1.03	1.55	0.18	12	-15	27	14.6	16.4	-1.79	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	37	39	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.06	11	-14	25	14.1	16.8	-2.65	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Terrence Williams	29	29	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.13	6	-9	15	15.0	16.0	-0.97	17.1	15.9	1.22
Josh Boone	18	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-7	11	14.1	16.1	-2.04	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Yi Jianlian	49	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	9	-21	16.6	14.5	2.06	17.0	15.5	1.55
Kris Humphries	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-8	13	14.7	16.6	-1.87	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Brook Lopez	67	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.1	14.5	1.51	16.7	15.0	1.72
Devin Harris	59	60	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.54	-10	7	-17	16.5	14.1	2.34	16.0	16.9	-0.85
Jarvis Hayes	50	51	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.48	-14	11	-25	16.5	14.6	1.90	16.4	16.2	0.19
Courtney Lee	58	59	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.67	-14	11	-25	16.1	14.8	1.30	16.0	16.9	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	91.4%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	90.9%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	90.8%