NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	6.1 [584]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +16.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	81		Comeback	2.0 [221]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -16.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	11	72%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.03	12	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	19	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	11	41%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	45%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	21	39%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	29.9	15.6	26.4	2.4	27.4	125.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.6%

DET +10.1%

DET +4.7%

DET +13.2%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	18.3	15.5	15.3	108.1	96.4	106.0
season	16.8	15.5		104.0	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		101.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.3	17.1	17.5	20.6	18.3
MIL	18.6	14.2	15.3	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	46	45	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.17	21	-9	30	17.5	19.3	-1.87	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Ben Gordon	46	46	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-5	22	17.5	19.2	-1.73	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Rodney Stuckey	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	3	6	19.5	14.1	5.48	14.9	17.9	-3.08
Jonas Jerebko	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	5	2	19.1	17.8	1.28	16.4	14.9	1.53
Will Bynum	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	6	0	15.8	20.1	-4.29	16.2	15.0	1.17
Richard Hamilton	67	65	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	3	6	18.4	18.2	0.22	15.9	14.1	1.83
Tayshaun Prince	52	49	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	11	-10	20.1	15.7	4.38	15.4	15.7	-0.23
Ben Wallace	44	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	15	-18	18.8	17.8	0.96	15.7	15.3	0.43
Charlie Villanueva	35	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	19	-26	16.7	19.4	-2.67	15.2	15.7	-0.48

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	66	66	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-14	16	15.2	16.9	-1.74	19.4	14.8	4.59
Jodie Meeks	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	1.0	15.7	-14.70	31.5	18.0	13.49
Brandon Jennings	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-13	14	15.1	16.6	-1.43	19.0	16.7	2.34
Andrew Bogut	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-16	20	15.0	16.9	-1.88	17.9	19.4	-1.51
Charlie Bell	73	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-10	8	14.7	21.0	-6.30	18.3	18.7	-0.40
Ersan Ilyasova	16	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	4	-20	17.0	15.2	1.82	16.8	18.7	-1.95
Jerry Stackhouse	29	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.9	1.68	17.4	18.8	-1.43
Luke Ridnour	24	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.6	15.1	1.54	16.5	19.2	-2.63
Carlos Delfino	64	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	3	-18	16.2	13.5	2.66	18.5	17.7	0.75
Hakim Warrick	24	27	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	2	-16	16.8	15.0	1.83	17.7	18.6	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	92.6%
ATL 101, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0	92.2%
DET 93, MIL 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,0	92.1%