NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	2.9 [1192]		MVP	T.J. Ford (IND): +5.5%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.6 [825]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -11.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.19	0.00	0.17	17	72%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	10	20%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	17	46%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Will Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	13	38%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	81%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	17	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.8	28.2	15.8	25.1	2.8	27.2	124.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.2%

IND +0.1%

DET -0.1%

DET -0.3%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.3	89.2	116.3	106.0
season	16.8	14.2		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.7	17.8	18.2	14.8	16.5
IND	14.9	14.1	15.4	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DaJuan Summers	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	12.9	17.4	-4.41	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Kwame Brown	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-26	28	17.1	16.4	0.62	13.1	14.8	-1.69
Austin Daye	28	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-19	14	14.4	17.5	-3.08	13.6	15.0	-1.39
Jason Maxiell	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-29	34	16.6	16.5	0.14	15.3	13.9	1.35
Ben Gordon	47	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-16	8	16.6	16.5	0.05	14.9	14.2	0.67
Will Bynum	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-18	12	16.2	17.0	-0.82	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Ben Wallace	35	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-3	-18	16.3	16.7	-0.33	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Rodney Stuckey	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	-7	-10	16.6	16.5	0.01	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Richard Hamilton	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-6	-12	17.8	15.0	2.81	14.7	14.4	0.34
Tayshaun Prince	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	-2	-20	17.3	14.8	2.52	15.0	13.8	1.19
Jonas Jerebko	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.42	-29	5	-34	17.0	16.0	0.94	15.4	13.4	1.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	57	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.38	29	-5	34	14.9	14.0	0.98	17.9	14.5	3.33
Brandon Rush	59	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	1	22	15.0	13.8	1.18	16.4	16.8	-0.36
Danny Granger	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	6	12	14.4	14.9	-0.47	17.3	14.7	2.62
Troy Murphy	59	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	9	6	14.7	14.4	0.24	16.9	15.8	1.06
T.J. Ford	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	5	14	14.3	14.8	-0.43	17.5	15.7	1.85
A.J. Price	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	19	-14	14.8	14.3	0.43	15.7	17.5	-1.85
Mike Dunleavy	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.19	12	12	0	14.4	14.7	-0.38	17.4	15.8	1.59
Dahntay Jones	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	16	-8	15.2	14.0	1.15	16.6	16.5	0.12
Solomon Jones	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	13.2	14.8	-1.61	12.4	17.3	-4.85
Travis Diener	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	13.1	14.9	-1.72	12.3	17.4	-5.11
Josh McRoberts	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	13.2	14.8	-1.61	12.4	17.3	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIN 96, GSW 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 105, GSW 146	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%