NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	1.6 [1309]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +15.8%
New York Knicks	132		Comeback	1.0 [1173]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -5.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.20	0.00	0.16	10	110%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.03	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	43%	-0.00	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.19	0.00	-0.15	11	27%	-0.02	6	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	24%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	-0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.00	17	74%	0.13	4	0.03	4	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	-0.07	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	7	76%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	18	62%	0.06	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	5	80%	0.05	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	10	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	112%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	28.5	16.5	25.4	2.7	32.2	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.5%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +0.6%

NYK +11.6%

NYK +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	14.5	15.3	101.0	128.2	106.0
season	14.7	14.7		100.1	105.9
opponent	15.5	14.8		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	13.7	15.4	10.4	13.4
NYK	11.8	15.1	15.9	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.31	11	-38	49	11.2	13.6	-2.34	13.5	14.6	-1.06
Alando Tucker	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.22	-8	-19	11	11.8	13.7	-1.92	13.5	14.7	-1.16
Sasha Pavlovic	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.35	-17	-10	-7	12.2	14.2	-2.00	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Ryan Hollins	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.46	-21	-6	-15	12.4	14.0	-1.56	14.7	14.3	0.42
Wayne Ellington	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-18	9	12.0	14.3	-2.28	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Ramon Sessions	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-17	7	12.1	15.8	-3.73	13.8	15.9	-2.06
Kevin Love	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.52	-26	-1	-25	14.7	12.6	2.13	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Ryan Gomes	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-19	11	14.0	12.7	1.30	14.6	14.3	0.28
Jonny Flynn	51	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-15	3	15.0	11.8	3.23	15.7	13.4	2.25
Damien Wilkins	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-9	-9	14.1	12.7	1.41	15.2	13.8	1.45
Al Jefferson	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-22	17	13.8	12.9	0.89	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Corey Brewer	59	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-15	3	14.3	12.1	2.15	15.1	13.7	1.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	6	15	13.6	15.5	-1.84	14.5	12.0	2.49
Jared Jeffries	64	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.61	36	-9	45	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.5	11.4	3.09
Chris Duhon	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.26	24	3	21	14.4	14.6	-0.16	14.9	10.7	4.25
David Lee	70	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	8	11	14.9	13.6	1.24	14.1	11.7	2.45
Danilo Gallinari	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	19	-11	15.0	13.6	1.37	13.8	12.6	1.22
Nate Robinson	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	8	11	13.9	15.0	-1.08	12.9	13.7	-0.83
Al Harrington	67	66	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	13	1	14.6	14.2	0.39	12.2	15.3	-3.09
Toney Douglas	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	25	-23	14.5	14.4	0.10	10.8	14.5	-3.68
Jonathan Bender	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	32	-37	15.3	14.2	1.11	10.4	14.4	-4.01
Marcus Landry	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.9	14.2	1.76	10.2	14.0	-3.73
Jordan Hill	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	29	-31	15.0	14.5	0.54	6.5	13.5	-6.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, GSW 146	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIA 84, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%