NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	8.3 [185]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +68.1%
New Orleans Hornets	113		Comeback	26.2 [63]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -14.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.68	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.68	0.20	0.49	0.01	16	72%	0.68	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Zach Randolph	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	18	62%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	58%	0.12	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	14	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.00	13	52%	-0.00	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	0.02	-0.17	0.00	9	60%	-0.01	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.3	0.30	0.01	0.29	0.00	6	46%	0.30	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.28	0.28	0.00	0.27	-0.00	14	58%	0.43	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.07
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	12	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	13	72%	0.25	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.4	13.6	26.4	2.5	38.0	139.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +47.0%

MEM -8.2%

NOH +6.5%

NOH +1.5%

NOH +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.3	118.1	120.2	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		106.8	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	16.3	13.8	15.8	15.3
NOH	14.7	15.6	17.5	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	46	46	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.15	3	-5	8	14.1	16.5	-2.43	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	3	-8	15.6	15.2	0.34	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Marc Gasol	79	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-9	16	15.3	15.6	-0.35	15.5	14.2	1.34
Marcus Williams	6	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	16.8	15.2	1.63	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Sam Young	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	7	-16	18.2	14.5	3.77	14.0	15.7	-1.71
Zach Randolph	77	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.53	6	-8	14	15.3	15.4	-0.13	15.3	15.4	-0.03
Rudy Gay	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-7	12	15.0	17.8	-2.79	15.5	14.0	1.51
O.J. Mayo	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-4	6	14.9	17.8	-2.89	15.5	13.8	1.72
DeMarre Carroll	16	14	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	12	-26	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.7	15.4	-0.72
Jamaal Tinsley	42	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.66	1	-3	4	16.5	14.4	2.07	15.5	15.2	0.25

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	58	60	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.73	9	-7	16	15.3	15.4	-0.05	14.4	16.9	-2.51
Marcus Thornton	45	46	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-14	30	14.6	16.0	-1.40	17.7	13.0	4.63
James Posey	37	37	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-4	10	14.6	15.8	-1.21	16.2	14.7	1.50
David West	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	-1	4	15.0	16.9	-1.91	14.8	18.2	-3.44
Chris Paul	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	14.9	18.3	-3.33	15.0	18.1	-3.12
Darren Collison	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	1	0	15.6	15.3	0.38	16.8	14.9	1.86
Julian Wright	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.3	0.38	16.4	15.0	1.39
Darius Songaila	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.24	9	-7	16	15.8	15.2	0.64	19.6	13.7	5.90
Emeka Okafor	62	59	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.05	-15	17	-32	16.1	13.8	2.35	14.2	17.1	-2.92
Devin Brown	43	40	-0.86	1.36	-2.22	-0.24	-21	23	-44	16.4	14.5	1.92	12.5	17.4	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.46,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 114, ATL 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.91,1	90.5%
DET 107, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	90.1%
CHA 107, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.54,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.55,0.32,0.96,1	89.4%