NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	7.0 [403]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +19.3%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	3.7 [143]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -26.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	16	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.01	12	68%	0.11	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.05
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	5	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	7	57%	0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.31,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.12	0.01	10	36%	-0.12	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.01	14	63%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.01	24	50%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.06	0.00	11	43%	-0.07	7	-0.15	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.6	31.7	16.0	28.2	2.6	38.2	146.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.1%

BOS -6.6%

DET +6.0%

DET +19.2%

BOS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.3	89.6	96.8	106.0
season	15.5	16.8		105.7	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	13.2	14.4	14.8	14.1
DET	15.5	15.6	15.6	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	33	31	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.07	7	-13	20	13.5	14.3	-0.83	17.3	15.5	1.71
Glen Davis	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-11	16	14.1	14.0	0.06	18.0	15.3	2.73
Henry Walker	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-7	8	15.2	14.0	1.20	18.7	15.9	2.73
Brian Scalabrine	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-4	2	16.5	13.8	2.70	18.1	15.9	2.23
Eddie House	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-5	4	14.9	13.8	1.10	16.7	15.9	0.84
Rasheed Wallace	79	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-5	4	13.7	15.6	-1.93	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Rajon Rondo	86	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.2	13.1	1.07	15.8	18.4	-2.55
Paul Pierce	71	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-2	-2	13.4	15.9	-2.46	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Kendrick Perkins	71	70	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.31	-15	9	-24	14.3	13.5	0.79	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Ray Allen	68	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.34	-15	9	-24	14.2	13.6	0.59	15.5	17.6	-2.08

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	80	80	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-8	22	16.1	16.0	0.13	15.2	8.4	6.83
Ben Wallace	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-2	10	16.1	16.0	0.09	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Richard Hamilton	79	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.8	17.7	-1.98	13.4	17.2	-3.75
Jonas Jerebko	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	7	-8	17.0	15.4	1.69	15.0	13.4	1.62
Charlie Villanueva	61	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	16.8	14.9	1.90	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Jason Maxiell	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	-4	14	15.9	16.3	-0.44	14.8	13.5	1.29
Austin Daye	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	1	4	15.4	17.0	-1.69	13.5	14.8	-1.36
DaJuan Summers	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	6	-6	11.8	16.3	-4.54	7.8	14.4	-6.61
Chris Wilcox	16	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	13	-20	14.1	16.5	-2.46	15.5	13.8	1.71
Chucky Atkins	26	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	12	-18	17.9	15.4	2.45	13.5	14.3	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1	92.8%
DEN 85, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.68,0.89,0.78,0.96,1	92.5%
VAN 87, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	92.4%