NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	7.7 [251]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +29.4%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	1.4 [778]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -33.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.19	0.01	16	64%	0.31	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	19	65%	0.25	3	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	10	10%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	5	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.01	0.04	14	76%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.23	-0.01	20	42%	-0.23	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.15	-0.18	0.00	10	29%	-0.14	4	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	32.2	16.5	26.2	2.8	31.4	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.5%

DAL +2.7%

WAS -5.9%

DAL +11.8%

WAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	17.4	15.3	106.8	106.9	106.0
season	15.2	15.7		107.2	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	13.4	15.6	18.5	15.6
WAS	18.1	15.4	16.3	20.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	75	76	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.41	12	-11	23	15.0	18.8	-3.85	17.4	17.3	0.10
Erick Dampier	43	42	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	-1	3	15.4	15.7	-0.25	17.6	17.1	0.55
Jason Kidd	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	0	1	16.0	13.9	2.07	17.4	17.1	0.39
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	2	-3	16.3	12.4	3.91	17.9	15.0	2.89
Shawn Marion	63	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	4	-7	16.1	14.2	1.97	17.0	18.1	-1.03
James Singleton	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	-1	3	12.4	16.3	-3.91	15.0	17.9	-2.89
Drew Gooden	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	15.4	15.7	-0.36	17.3	17.4	-0.14
Matt Carroll	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	3	-5	17.7	15.5	2.29	18.7	17.3	1.36
Quinton Ross	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	14.8	15.9	-1.15	18.3	16.9	1.37
Jose Juan Barea	28	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	15.7	15.5	0.16	16.4	17.8	-1.42

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	28	27	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.14	1	-2	3	19.1	16.5	2.53	16.5	15.2	1.32
Andray Blatche	30	31	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-3	5	17.3	17.4	-0.04	16.6	15.0	1.66
Dominic McGuire	0	1	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-1	1	0.0	17.4	-17.36	11.0	15.6	-4.62
Nick Young	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	11.5	17.5	-5.99	10.3	15.8	-5.42
JaVale McGee	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	6	-13	15.6	17.6	-2.06	9.2	16.6	-7.41
Mike Miller	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-10	19	17.2	17.6	-0.38	16.4	14.1	2.27
Caron Butler	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-7	13	17.6	15.6	2.06	16.6	9.2	7.41
DeShawn Stevenson	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	11	-23	17.6	17.2	0.38	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Antawn Jamison	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.61	4	-5	9	17.1	18.1	-1.04	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Brendan Haywood	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-2	3	17.9	15.5	2.42	16.5	12.9	3.55
Randy Foye	69	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.56	-6	5	-11	16.5	20.6	-4.03	14.3	20.3	-5.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%
GSW 105, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	91.9%
UTA 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.8%