NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	2.0 [1293]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +8.7%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.3 [896]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -8.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	7	78%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	14	34%	-0.07	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	12	71%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	78%	0.07	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.05	4	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.11	11	78%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	8	65%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	0.3	28.8	15.8	30.0	1.5	30.4	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.6%

ORL +2.0%

ORL +4.2%

ORL +8.8%

ATL -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.3	88.0	122.8	106.0
season	16.0	15.4		109.4	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.2	16.9	16.5	13.0	16.1
ORL	13.1	13.8	16.3	17.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-30	28	10.1	16.9	-6.75	16.6	15.0	1.52
Randolph Morris	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-31	30	12.7	16.9	-4.22	17.4	14.7	2.73
Jeff Teague	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-32	32	14.8	17.3	-2.45	15.7	14.8	0.88
Al Horford	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-16	0	17.2	14.9	2.28	14.7	15.7	-1.08
Mike Bibby	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.52	-25	-7	-18	17.5	15.0	2.45	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Maurice Evans	43	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-20	8	14.3	17.8	-3.50	15.8	14.6	1.18
Josh Smith	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	-14	-4	17.9	13.1	4.76	15.2	15.2	0.01
Marvin Williams	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.35	-23	-9	-14	17.0	14.6	2.41	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Zaza Pachulia	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-18	4	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.5	15.0	0.58
Joe Johnson	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.57	-32	0	-32	17.3	14.8	2.45	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Jamal Crawford	58	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-15	-2	14.9	18.1	-3.22	14.9	15.7	-0.75

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	5	22	15.0	15.6	-0.66	15.1	18.4	-3.35
Ryan Anderson	42	43	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	13	6	15.5	15.0	0.49	15.8	16.4	-0.62
JJ Redick	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	12	8	15.5	14.1	1.44	16.7	14.1	2.56
Jason Williams	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	11	10	15.9	14.3	1.57	14.4	18.4	-3.99
Marcin Gortat	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.23	19	13	6	15.9	14.4	1.53	14.8	17.7	-2.85
Dwight Howard	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.21	13	19	-6	14.4	15.9	-1.53	17.7	14.8	2.85
Jameer Nelson	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	21	-10	14.3	15.9	-1.57	18.4	14.4	3.99
Matt Barnes	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.33	17	15	2	15.0	15.5	-0.49	16.6	15.5	1.10
Rashard Lewis	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.27	13	19	-6	15.0	15.5	-0.49	16.4	15.8	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
UTA 86, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHI 84, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%