NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	6.1 [567]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +16.4%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	4.0 [469]		LVP	Rafer Alston (NJN): -13.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	68%	0.24	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	9	76%	0.13	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Josh Boone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	18	67%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.00	12	61%	0.22	2	-0.05	17	82%	0.05
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	18	63%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	12	27%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	33.0	17.6	24.4	2.5	34.2	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +5.7%

NYK +17.1%

NYK +25.2%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.3	104.3	112.8	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		98.7	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	14.7	18.1	13.5	15.3
NYK	15.9	13.0	13.8	19.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	23	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-16	23	16.3	14.9	1.40	16.5	15.2	1.29
Josh Boone	42	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	14.9	15.6	-0.70	14.1	16.7	-2.63
Trenton Hassell	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.2	14.8	1.35	13.9	16.3	-2.40
Terrence Williams	18	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	17.3	14.8	2.53	14.0	15.9	-1.87
Rafer Alston	39	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-7	5	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.1	15.1	1.00
Devin Harris	79	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.16	15.8	14.0	1.75
Courtney Lee	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	4	-17	15.1	16.4	-1.30	15.9	13.7	2.12
Brook Lopez	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	15.1	15.9	-0.76	16.1	13.4	2.68
Chris Douglas-Roberts	83	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	4	-17	15.0	17.6	-2.59	15.5	15.2	0.32

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	73	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-11	31	15.1	17.0	-1.92	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Larry Hughes	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-3	15	15.5	15.7	-0.26	15.7	13.6	2.01
David Lee	77	76	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-4	17	16.0	13.2	2.78	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Al Harrington	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-4	17	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Chris Duhon	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	0	9	16.2	12.8	3.44	15.3	15.1	0.23
Toney Douglas	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	11.2	16.1	-4.98	15.8	15.2	0.62
Danilo Gallinari	41	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	20	-31	15.0	15.9	-0.99	15.4	15.2	0.25
Wilson Chandler	39	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	17	-25	15.9	15.2	0.70	14.7	15.7	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,1	93.3%
WAS 84, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
BOS 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	93.1%