NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	6.1 [579]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +21.5%
Golden State Warriors	126		Comeback	6.5 [249]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	63%	0.13	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.03	0.04	17	55%	0.11	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.08
T.J. Ford	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	7	33%	-0.04	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.01	27	64%	0.35	7	-0.14	16	87%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	11	72%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	10	78%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	6	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	0.07	5	58%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	30.8	14.7	29.7	2.0	33.3	140.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +61.8%

IND -8.2%

IND -14.9%

GSW +7.2%

GSW +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	13.2	12.9	15.3	96.4	114.5	106.0
season	14.2	13.4		102.2	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		110.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	11.0	14.7	14.2	13.2
GSW	12.1	13.9	11.4	14.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	33	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-17	15	14.9	12.5	2.48	12.9	12.9	0.02
Jeff Foster	55	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-21	23	13.6	12.8	0.76	12.5	13.2	-0.64
T.J. Ford	75	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-11	3	13.0	13.6	-0.61	13.0	12.6	0.42
Tyler Hansbrough	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-7	-5	15.9	12.6	3.36	13.8	12.7	1.12
Dahntay Jones	75	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-11	3	13.0	13.5	-0.49	12.8	12.9	-0.12
Danny Granger	92	92	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-16	13	12.7	15.6	-2.94	13.0	12.1	0.90
Troy Murphy	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-15	11	13.3	12.9	0.38	13.2	12.3	0.82
Mike Dunleavy	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-5	-9	11.7	14.7	-3.07	13.1	12.6	0.46
Roy Hibbert	24	24	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.20	-24	5	-29	14.0	13.0	0.97	11.3	13.3	-2.01
Earl Watson	53	54	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.01	-22	3	-25	13.1	13.3	-0.13	12.6	13.2	-0.61

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	67	68	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.08	25	-6	31	12.9	12.8	0.16	13.2	13.2	0.02
CJ Watson	79	81	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.06	27	-8	35	13.1	12.2	0.93	13.1	13.5	-0.46
Chris Hunter	26	25	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-2	23	13.8	12.6	1.29	15.2	12.6	2.58
Anthony Morrow	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-1	21	13.1	11.8	1.30	13.3	12.6	0.73
Monta Ellis	96	98	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	7	5	12.8	13.4	-0.57	13.3	12.4	0.92
Anthony Randolph	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	14	-9	13.2	12.8	0.43	12.5	13.4	-0.91
Ronny Turiaf	20	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	17	-15	11.5	13.2	-1.61	12.5	13.4	-0.87
Mikki Moore	41	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	21	-23	11.7	13.6	-1.84	14.0	12.7	1.35
Stephen Curry	48	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.17	-5	24	-29	12.9	12.8	0.09	11.8	14.2	-2.41
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	56	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.07	-10	29	-39	12.9	12.9	-0.02	13.2	13.2	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
MIN 95, UTA 106	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1	92.3%
WAS 94, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.62,0.62,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	92.2%