NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	7.3 [330]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +29.6%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.0 [1116]		LVP	Jason Kapono (PHI): -12.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.02	12	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Willie Green	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	16	59%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	18	52%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,0.06	-0.03	0.11	0.02	17	47%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	3	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.3	0.30	-0.00	0.29	-0.01	7	50%	0.32	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	26	49%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.11	-0.03	10	55%	0.18	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	33.2	16.8	25.1	2.5	37.3	138.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +65.4%

PHI -14.2%

PHI -32.3%

DAL +25.1%

DAL +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.5	15.3	107.4	109.5	106.0
season	15.1	15.2		104.2	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	14.4	12.9	12.4	13.8
DAL	13.6	15.0	19.9	18.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	23	22	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-14	26	12.1	14.3	-2.16	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Rodney Carney	15	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	14.0	13.7	0.27	15.0	16.9	-1.88
Jrue Holiday	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	3	-8	14.6	12.8	1.77	15.0	18.4	-3.38
Andre Iguodala	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-9	16	13.4	14.6	-1.17	17.4	14.6	2.85
Willie Green	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-3	4	13.6	14.3	-0.67	16.6	16.5	0.09
Jason Smith	32	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	5	-12	13.7	13.8	-0.12	17.3	16.2	1.15
Samuel Dalembert	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-2	2	14.1	13.1	1.00	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Thaddeus Young	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	13.8	13.5	0.33	16.2	17.6	-1.40
Elton Brand	47	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	10	-22	14.1	13.4	0.67	17.7	15.4	2.26
Royal Ivey	31	29	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	13.4	14.0	-0.61	18.1	15.9	2.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	58	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	0	2	17.5	15.1	2.36	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Jason Terry	64	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-7	16	17.4	14.7	2.73	13.7	13.8	-0.07
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.5	16.6	-0.12	14.0	12.5	1.51
Jason Kidd	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	4	-6	16.9	15.1	1.80	14.1	12.5	1.61
James Singleton	27	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	-5	12	15.0	17.1	-2.11	14.0	13.7	0.32
Drew Gooden	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	-2	6	17.6	15.1	2.50	14.1	13.3	0.88
Shawn Marion	64	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	3	-4	15.7	18.3	-2.54	13.1	15.1	-2.05
Rodrigue Beaubois	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	4	-6	13.2	17.5	-4.31	13.4	13.9	-0.47
Erick Dampier	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	11	-20	15.6	17.0	-1.39	13.5	13.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
SAS 86, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
NJN 106, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%