NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	5.6 [683]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): +16.2%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	1.8 [290]		LVP	Devin Brown (NOH): -13.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	21	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.03	16	53%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	18	38%	-0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	16	64%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	13	73%	0.24	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	20	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	0%	-0.11
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	27.3	15.5	22.4	2.4	36.4	132.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +71.0%

ATL -11.5%

ATL -6.8%

NOH +0.1%

ATL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	17.5	15.0	15.3	98.9	109.1	106.0
season	16.0	15.5		109.4	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		108.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.4	15.7	19.3	17.5	17.5
NOH	13.9	17.8	12.6	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-12	16	17.1	17.5	-0.43	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Jeff Teague	12	10	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-14	20	14.1	18.0	-3.93	15.1	15.0	0.06
Josh Smith	70	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-17	26	16.8	19.8	-3.00	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Al Horford	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	16.7	18.8	-2.03	15.4	14.4	0.96
Marvin Williams	68	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	16.8	19.6	-2.73	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Zaza Pachulia	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	18.8	16.7	2.03	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Maurice Evans	28	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	3	-14	18.7	16.9	1.80	15.4	14.8	0.60
Joe Johnson	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	0	-8	17.7	16.3	1.38	15.1	14.7	0.39
Joe Smith	19	19	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	9	-26	19.8	16.8	3.00	15.1	15.0	0.08
Jamal Crawford	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.20	-15	7	-22	18.1	15.2	2.83	14.9	15.5	-0.53

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	43	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	16.5	13.7	2.78	17.2	17.8	-0.64
Marcus Thornton	47	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	1	6	16.2	13.7	2.46	17.0	18.0	-1.07
David West	65	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	15.3	14.4	0.83	17.4	17.6	-0.13
Darren Collison	63	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	3	2	14.3	17.0	-2.67	17.4	17.6	-0.14
Emeka Okafor	61	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	7	-6	14.7	15.8	-1.11	18.0	16.4	1.60
Hilton Armstrong	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	3	2	16.4	14.5	1.95	17.0	17.7	-0.67
Bobby Brown	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.08	3	5	-2	17.0	14.3	2.67	17.6	17.4	0.14
Darius Songaila	21	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	4	0	14.0	15.4	-1.44	18.4	17.2	1.22
Devin Brown	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	7	-6	13.7	16.2	-2.46	18.0	17.0	1.07
Peja Stojakovic	49	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	13.7	16.7	-3.05	17.0	18.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 115, CHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.5%