NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	4.9 [814]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +12.2%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.0 [1048]		LVP	Rafer Alston (NJN): -14.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	11	79%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	54%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Dahntay Jones	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	27%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	50%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	25	49%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	27	42%	-0.06	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	12	41%	-0.05	5	-0.10	10	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	28.7	15.0	23.2	1.8	35.0	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.9%

IND +9.8%

NJN -4.3%

IND +13.3%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.3	93.8	84.7	106.0
season	14.2	15.9		102.2	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.3	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.7	14.2	16.2	16.2	14.7
NJN	15.0	14.0	15.8	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	66	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-14	36	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.0	14.3	0.79
Danny Granger	79	79	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-10	28	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.2	13.1	2.10
Roy Hibbert	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-9	26	15.3	13.6	1.71	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	14.8	14.4	0.41	15.5	13.1	2.38
Brandon Rush	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	10	-12	14.3	15.6	-1.22	15.0	14.3	0.74
Tyler Hansbrough	32	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	15.4	14.4	0.94	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Earl Watson	51	52	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	16	-24	15.1	14.3	0.79	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Josh McRoberts	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	13.2	15.0	-1.70	11.7	15.2	-3.46
Luther Head	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	14	-20	14.3	14.9	-0.57	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Solomon Jones	20	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	15	-22	13.8	15.0	-1.19	16.4	14.3	2.02

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-7	6	13.4	15.3	-1.92	15.3	14.5	0.76
Sean Williams	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.7	14.5	1.20	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Bobby Simmons	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.38	5	-13	18	13.7	15.6	-1.87	15.5	14.1	1.42
Chris Douglas-Roberts	89	88	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.2	-0.47	14.8	14.2	0.57
Terrence Williams	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	9	-26	14.1	15.5	-1.35	14.1	15.3	-1.23
Trenton Hassell	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	15.7	11.8	3.90	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Brook Lopez	94	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.0	1.87	14.9	11.4	3.52
Rafer Alston	85	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.1	1.98	14.5	16.4	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.34,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
GSW 91, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 102, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%