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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 94 Excitement8.7 [158] MVPJason Terry (DAL): +65.9%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback5.9 [388] LVPSebastian Telfair (MIN): -24.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Craig Smith0.510,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.51,0.510.190.330.001380%0.5100.004100%0.03
Mike Miller0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.08-0.011458%0.181-0.03367%-0.01
Kevin Ollie0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.00475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.08-0.01575%0.112-0.16250%-0.01
Rodney Carney-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.050.01944%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Love-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.030.021145%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.011025%-0.061-0.0900%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.250,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.25-0.12-0.13-0.001640%-0.005-0.253100%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.660.660.140.530.011569%0.6600.00250%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.260.260.110.150.001962%0.363-0.101794%0.11
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.05-0.002100%0.111-0.022100%0.02
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01839%0.021-0.032100%0.03
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.040.021060%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01543%-0.012-0.06475%-0.06
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.140.00743%-0.132-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.526.215.828.02.035.8132.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +9.0%
DAL +13.9%
MIN -15.2%
DAL +38.0%
DAL +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game17.315.215.5106.8107.9106.4
season15.815.6104.3108.9
opponent15.415.1107.1109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN17.817.215.119.517.3
DAL14.317.114.914.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Ollie33330.18-0.680.85-0.006-81418.616.52.0615.914.81.07
Kevin Love3637-0.21-0.290.090.12-119-2015.818.3-2.5115.015.4-0.40
Rodney Carney5151-0.21-0.290.070.11-119-2016.818.0-1.1314.815.8-0.92
Craig Smith5252-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.569-112018.315.82.5115.415.00.40
Mike Miller7072-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.430-2217.118.2-1.1414.916.7-1.82
Sebastian Telfair7274-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-31-416.720.1-3.4315.115.9-0.84
Ryan Gomes5050-0.520.02-0.54-0.49-1-1018.116.31.8116.713.33.43
Brian Cardinal7676-0.520.02-0.55-0.551-3417.417.00.3714.718.5-3.78

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Dampier68670.87-0.371.240.3717-153214.916.5-1.6217.018.3-1.33
Antoine Wright64630.86-0.361.220.4514-122614.417.3-2.8417.217.6-0.34
Jason Kidd73730.69-0.190.890.3412-102214.817.4-2.6816.819.7-2.91
Dirk Nowitzki74740.480.020.460.393-1415.115.8-0.6817.317.6-0.39
Jason Terry60600.340.160.180.60-911-2015.315.10.2017.916.11.72
Brandon Bass2321-0.120.62-0.740.08-79-1615.415.20.2719.416.72.71
Jose Juan Barea5451-0.130.63-0.76-0.04-35-815.914.21.7516.718.2-1.46
James Singleton2931-0.521.02-1.54-0.02-1719-3617.814.03.8418.116.91.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.22,0.15,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 107, DAL 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,189.9%
POR 97, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,189.4%
LAL 75, OKC 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,189.2%