NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	78		Excitement	1.5 [1311]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +8.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	1.0 [1014]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -6.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ike Diogu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	8	59%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	32%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	8	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	15	60%	-0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Donte Greene	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.24	0.00	-0.18	18	21%	-0.03	4	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	11	83%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.07	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	4	25%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	25.1	15.8	24.1	2.4	29.3	124.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.7%

LAC +5.6%

SAC -0.4%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.5	83.0	116.0	106.4
season	15.0	15.7		104.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.8	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.3	15.8	16.6	17.4	16.5
LAC	13.0	14.2	14.1	15.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-26	21	17.7	15.8	1.94	14.2	14.1	0.08
Bobby Jackson	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	-20	9	18.3	15.5	2.80	14.5	13.9	0.61
Rashad McCants	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-20	9	15.3	16.9	-1.53	15.6	13.6	1.94
Jason Thompson	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-17	3	16.1	17.1	-1.02	15.0	12.8	2.19
Andres Nocioni	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-10	-11	16.9	16.0	0.84	12.8	15.7	-2.94
Donte Greene	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	-13	-5	16.2	16.6	-0.46	14.0	14.2	-0.15
Francisco Garcia	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.25	-21	-10	-11	16.2	17.6	-1.42	14.1	14.4	-0.35
Beno Udrih	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.37	-26	-5	-21	16.3	18.7	-2.40	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Spencer Hawes	81	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	-3	-25	16.2	18.4	-2.19	13.9	15.4	-1.52

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.50	33	-2	35	13.7	15.3	-1.62	17.0	15.3	1.65
Baron Davis	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.41	27	4	23	13.1	15.6	-2.50	16.3	16.8	-0.52
Brian Skinner	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	7	17	13.5	15.3	-1.83	16.1	17.4	-1.32
Fred Jones	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	12	7	13.2	15.6	-2.49	17.0	15.6	1.40
Chris Kaman	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.26	20	11	9	14.3	13.9	0.37	17.5	15.1	2.35
Marcus Camby	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	17	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.23	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Mike Taylor	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	24	-17	15.7	12.8	2.86	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Steve Novak	28	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	26	-21	15.9	13.4	2.50	15.2	17.0	-1.75
Alex Acker	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	25	-19	15.2	13.5	1.69	16.4	16.5	-0.14
DeAndre Jordan	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	31	-31	15.4	13.8	1.60	17.4	16.2	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
CHI 74, MIN 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
UTA 83, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%